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Clinical Transplantation

LONG-TERM ASSESSMENT OF POSTTRANSPLANT RENAL PROGNOSIS WITH 31P MAGNETIC RESONANCE SPECTROSCOPY

Seto, Kazuhiko1,2,3; Ikehira, Hiroo1; Obata, Takayuki1; Sakamoto, Kaoru4; Yamada, Kenichi5; Kashiwabara, Hidehiko4; Yokoyama, Takeo4; Tanada, Shuji1

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Clinical trials of 31P-magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) have been conducted for various organs (1–4). 31P-MRS has been widely used to study pretransplant renal viability (5–8). And while some have discussed posttransplant renal viability, no one has examined long-term posttransplant renal prognosis (9–12). A noninvasive method of predicting long-term prognosis could be helpful in the management of the patient after transplantation. Some previous work demonstrated that allograft rejection was accompanied by a decrease in β-adenosine triphosphate/inorganic phosphate (ATP/Pi) ratio and that this was thought to be the result of ischemia due to endothelial proliferation, which suppresses oxidative phosphorylation and hence causes a drop in ATP (9,10). We previously assessed the short-term prognosis with 31P-MRS (13). Herein, we discuss the use of 31P-MRS to assess the long-term prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We studied 20 patients with renal allografts. The age of the patients ranged from 16 to 42. Eleven kidneys were transplanted from living related donors and 9 from cadaveric donors. The mean duration from transplantation to MRS was 33.2 months (ranging from 1 to 121 months) (Table 1). Clinical data included serum creatinine level before MRS, at the time of MRS, and after MRS. Clinical course of renal function at MRS was evaluated from changes of serum creatinine levels. The immunosuppressive protocol in our patients consists of cyclosporine A, azathioprine, and a low-dose predonisolone.

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Table 1:
Case summaries

A Gyroscan ACS-II (Philips Medicals, Holland) operating at 1.5 Tesla and 15 cm surface coil was used for 31P-MRS. Before 31P-MRS, the magnetic field homogeneity was optimized by shimming on the proton signal. The shim-value was less than 5 Hz in each experiment. Localized 31P-MRS was performed using the image selected in vivo spectroscopy (ISIS) method. Spectra with a repetition time of 2000 msec and 512 acquisitions were recorded (Fig. 1-a). Figure 1-b shows a representative 31P-MRS spectrum. Seven peaks were identified for fitting; the phosphomonoester peak (PME), the inorganic phosphate peak (Pi), the phosphodiester peak (PDE), the phosphocreatine peak (PCr), and the three peaks of adenosine triphosphate (γ-, α- and β-ATP). Individual peaks were fitted by Lorenzian line-shapes with a least square method (Fig. 2-a, 2-b).

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Figure 1:
31P spectrum. (a) Magnetic resonance image of a transplanted kidney shows the position of the volume of interest (VOI) that was used to obtain the 31P spectrum of Figure 1-b. (b) 31P spectrum of a transplanted kidney. PME, phosphomonoesters; Pi, inorganic phosphate; PDE, phosphodiesters; PCr, phosphocreatine; ATP, adenosine triphosphate.
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Figure 2:
The line fitting of the 31P spectrum of transplanted kidney. (a) The line-fitted spectrum (solid line) was obtained from the original (dotted line). (b) The line-fitted spectrum (solid line) was made assuming the presence of seven signals with a Lorenzian line shape (dotted line).

We reported on the relation of β-ATP/Pi with the clinical course of renal function when MRS was performed. One group with gradual increase in serum creatinine has lower β-ATP/Pi ratio than another group with stable course (13). We discuss the long-term prognoses using the β-ATP/Pi ratio in this report. The results were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meiers method. Other 31P-MRS peak ratios were also evaluated, including β-ATP/PME, β-ATP/PDE, PDE/PME, PDE/Pi, γ-ATP/Pi, γ-ATP/PME, γ-ATP/PDE, α-ATP/Pi, α-ATP/PME, and α-ATP/PDE.

Informed consent was obtained in all cases before the 31P-MRS experiments, which the ethical committee of the National Institute of Radiological Sciences approved in advance.

RESULTS

The Survival of the Kidney after 31P-MRS

Survival is shown in Figure 3. It reflects patients with high β-ATP/Pi ratio (β-ATP/Pi≥1.2) and low β-ATP/Pi ratio (β-ATP/Pi<1.2). The high β-ATP/Pi group survived significantly longer than the low β-ATP/Pi group (Fig. 3). The horizontal axis indicates months since MRS study.

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Figure 3:
Survival rate of transplanted kidneys after MRS. High: β-ATP/Pi≥1.2 Low: β-ATP/Pi<1.2

Renal Survival Ratio at 3 Years and 5 Years

At 3 years after 31P-MRS, the graft was still functional in all 13 subjects with a high β-ATP/Pi but in only one of 7 subjects with a low β-ATP/Pi. This difference was significant by chi-square test (P <o.oo1) (Table 2).

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Table 2:
Prognosis of high β-ATP/Pi group and low β-ATP/Pi group

At 5 years after 31P-MRS, the graft was functional in 10 of 13 subjects with a high β-ATP/Pi and in one of 7 subjects with a low β-ATP/Pi. This difference was also significant by chi-square test (P <o.o1) (Table 2).

A β-ATP/Pi ratio >1.2 had sensitivity of 92.8%, specificity of 100%, and accuracy of 95% for predicting 3-year renal survival; a β-ATP/Pi ratio >1.2 had sensitivity of 90.9%, specificity of 66.7%, and accuracy of 76.9% for predicting 5-year renal survival.

Comparison of Kidneys Derived from Living Related Donors with Kidneys from Cadaveric Donors

Seven of 11 kidneys derived from living related donors and 6 of 9 from cadaveric donors survived 3 years. There were five cases in each kidney group in which the kidney survived for 5 years after 31P-MRS. There was no significant difference between two groups (Table 3).

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Table 3:
Survival rate of living related donor group and cadaveric group after MRS

Cases in which 31P-MRS Was Performed Within 3 Months after Transplantation

All three renal transplants with a β-ATP/Pi ratio >1.2 survived at 3 years. At 5 years one of them had failed when the ratio was >1.2.

Other Data

We compared 31P-MRS spectra data between the survived group and the failed group (Fig. 4-a and 4-b). Data are expressed as the mean±standard deviation. Open symbols represent the survived group and closed symbols represent the failed group. The survived group had significantly higher β-ATP/Pi, α-ATP/Pi, and PDE/Pi ratios than the failed group.

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Figure 4:
Peak ratios of 31P spectrum of survived group and failed group (a) 3 years after MRS (b) 5 years after MRS SD, standard deviation. Data were analyzed by Wilcoxon’s test.

DISCUSSION

In the case of cadaveric kidney it takes a long time to select the recipient and then to transport the kidney. Consequently cold storage in a perfusion solution was used in the case of cadaveric kidney to protect against renal damage. It is important to evaluate renal viability before transplantation. Bretan et al. and Kurkova et al. reported the effectiveness of MRS for evaluating hypothermically stored cadaveric kidneys (5,6).

Chan et al. reported that the β-ATP value of hypothermically stored cadaveric kidneys is a good indicator of postplantation renal viability (7). And Chan et al. showed that MRS is suitable for the diagnosis of early renal rejection (9,10). These results showed that early rejection is usually associated with a high Pi/β-ATP value. We also reported the efficacy of β-ATP/Pi for the short-term prognosis of kidney transplant recipients (13).

However, there had been no study of the efficacy of MRS for predicting the long-term survival of transplants. We followed the recipients for at least 5 years from when imaging was performed. When the cut-off level for β-ATP/Pi in the good renal function group was 1.2, the 3-year positive predictive value with respect to the renal survival was 100% and the 5-year positive predictive value was 76.9%. There were clear significant differences in both survival rates.

There have been several reports that a low β-ATP/Pi value was indicative of ischemia (14,16,17). There are many mechanisms by which transplanted kidney can be damaged, for example, acute glomeruler necrosis, renal toxicity of cyclosporine, and constriction of renal artery induced by arteriosclerosis. Chronic rejection might be difficult to predict. It occurs following endothelial thickening induced by ischemic change, which usually occurs focally (15). There was similarity between pretransplantation renal damage and chronic rejection in hypoxia, as reported by Marshall et al. (14). The β-ATP/Pi value might reflect the occult ischemic condition in cases of chronic rejection.

We discussed the β-ATP/Pi value as a parameter for predicting long-term survival of transplanted kidneys from when MRS was performed. A value >1.2 suggests a high probability of 3-year renal survival, whereas a value >2.5 indicates that the transplanted kidney could survive over 5 years. 31P-MRS may be useful for predicting long-term survival of transplanted kidneys, but additional studies are needed.

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