Secondary Logo

Journal Logo

Institutional members access full text with Ovid®

Ozdamar Linet; Kumar, Arun
The Journal for Healthcare Quality (JHQ): May-June 2005
doi: 10.1111/j.1945-1474.2005.tb00554.x
Feature Articles: PDF Only


Strategic planning for hospital inpatient capacity is important in providing quality healthcare service at a reasonable cost. This study estimates annual average hospital length of stay (LOS) as an aggregate quantity for all private and public hospitals in Singapore. Because LOS depends on a patient's medical history as well as on the severity and type of illness, it is a random variable that involves a wide spread. Hence, providing an accurate estimate for LOS poses a challenge but is very valuable. In this article, a multivariate fuzzy linear regression (FLR) model is developed for predicting aggregate annual LOS. The results show that FLR can provide accurate point and interval forecasts, although the amount of training data is small and the spread is wide.

© 2005 National Association for Healthcare Quality

You currently do not have access to this article

To access this article:

Note: If your society membership provides full-access, you may need to login on your society website