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Higher Time-Updated Body Mass Index

Association With Improved CD4+ Cell Recovery on HIV Treatment

Koethe, John R. MD, MS; Jenkins, Cathy A. MS; Lau, Bryan PhD, MHS; Shepherd, Bryan E. PhD; Wester, William MD, MPH; Rebeiro, Peter F. PhD, MHS; Silverberg, Michael J. PhD, MPH; Thorne, Jennifer E. MD, PhD; Gill, John MD; Mayor, Angel M. MD, MS; Willig, Amanda PhD, RD; Bosch, Ronald PhD; Horberg, Michael A. MD; Justice, Amy C. MD; Sterling, Timothy R. MD; Moore, Richard D. MD, MHS for the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD)

JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes: October 1, 2016 - Volume 73 - Issue 2 - p 197–204
doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000001035
Epidemiology and Prevention

Background: Prior studies found overweight or obese HIV-infected individuals had greater early CD4+ cell recovery on antiretroviral therapy (ART), but the results have been inconsistent. We assessed the longitudinal relationship between body mass index (BMI) and CD4+ cell recovery on ART in a large, multisite cohort to identify potential physiologic links between adiposity and CD4+ cell expansion.

Methods: We modeled the relationship of time-updated BMI with CD4+ count in patients starting ART from 17 North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) cohorts. The primary analysis used a linear mixed effects model incorporating up to 13 years of data per patient and adjusted for age, sex, race, ART regimen, baseline CD4+ count and other covariates. Sensitivity analyses limited the cohort to patients with sustained viral suppression or censored at virologic failure.

Results: Fourteen thousand eighty-four HIV-infected individuals initiating ART contributed data between 1998 and 2010. Time-updated BMI was significantly associated with CD4+ cell recovery over time (P < 0.001). After 5 years of ART, the mean CD4+ count at a BMI of 30 kg/m2 was 22% higher than at a BMI of 22 kg/m2 (606 vs. 498 cells per microliter) and 34% higher at a BMI of 40 kg/m2 (665 vs. 498 cells per microliter). Results were similar in the sensitivity analyses.

Discussion: Higher BMI is associated with long-term advantages in immune recovery on ART. Although it is unclear if this impacts health outcomes, including balancing the negative health effects of obesity, elucidating the underlying mechanism could identify therapies for patients with suboptimal immune reconstitution.

*Departments of Medicine and Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN;

Departments of Epidemiology and Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD;

Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA;

§Southern Alberta HIV Clinic, Calgary, AB, Canada;

Department of Internal Medicine, Universidad Central del Caribe, Bayamon, Puerto Rico;

Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL;

#Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA;

**Kaiser Permanente, Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, MD; and

††Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, and Yale University School of Medicine and Public Health, New Haven, CT.

Correspondence to: John R. Koethe, MD, MS, Division of Infectious Diseases, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, A2200-MCN, 1161 21st Avenue South, Nashville, TN 37232-2582 (e-mail:

Supported by Grants U01-AI069918, U01-AA013566, U01-AA020790, U01-AI31834, U01-AI34989, U01-AI34993, U01-AI34994, U01-AI35004, U01-AI35039, U01-AI35040, U01-AI35041, U01-AI35042, UM1-AI35043, U01-AI37613, U01-AI37984, U01-AI38855, U01-AI38858, U01-AI42590, U01-AI68634, U01-AI68636, U01-AI69432, U01-AI69434, U01-DA036935, U01-HD32632, U10-EY08052, U10-EY08057, U10-EY08067, U24-AA020794, U54-MD007587, UL1-RR024131, UL1-TR000083, F31-DA037788, G12-MD007583, K01-AI071754, K01-AI093197, K23-EY013707, K23-AI100700, K24-DA00432, K24-AI065298, KL2- TR000421, MO1-RR-00052, N02-CP55504, P30-AI027763, P30-AI094189, P30-AI27757, P30-AI27767, P30-AI036219, P30-AI50410, P30-AI54999, P30-MH62246, R01-AA16893, R01-CA165937, R01-DA04334, R01-DA11602, R01-DA12568, R24-AI067039, R56-AI102622, G12-MD007583, T32-AI52069, Z01-CP010214, and Z01-CP010176 from the National Institutes of Health, USA; contract CDC200-2006- 18797 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA; contract 90047713 from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, USA; contract 90051652 from the Health Resources and Services Administration, USA; Grants TGF-96118, HCP-97105, CBR-86906, CBR-94036 from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Canada; Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR); Ontario Ministry of Health and Long Term Care; and the Government of Alberta, Canada. Additional support was provided by the Tennessee Center for AIDS Research Grant P30 AI110527, the Vanderbilt University CTSA award UL1TR000445 from the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the Intramural Research Program of the National Cancer Institute and National Institutes of Health. The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of NIH.

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

Supplemental digital content is available for this article. Direct URL citations appear in the printed text and are provided in the HTML and PDF versions of this article on the journal's Web site (

Received December 02, 2015

Accepted April 07, 2016

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The reconstitution of circulating CD4+ T cells following the initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) is an indicator of long-term health outcomes in HIV-infected individuals, and a complex process involving myriad disease and host factors.1–4 In the pre-ART era, patients with a higher body mass index (BMI) were reported to have a slower progression to AIDS and reduced HIV-associated mortality,5–7 whereas studies in the combination ART era found that a higher BMI at treatment initiation may promote a greater CD4+ cell recovery.8–12 However, most prior studies of BMI and immune function in the context of HIV infection were from small cohorts and/or evaluated patients for brief periods of time following ART initiation.

Clarifying the longitudinal relationship of body composition and long-term CD4+ cell recovery on ART is relevant for both clinical care and the development of new therapies to improve immune reconstitution. The proportion of overweight and obese HIV-infected individuals in North America and Europe has increased over the past 2 decades and approaches parity with the general population.13–17 This presents the opportunity to utilize a comparative approach to identify potential linkages between adiposity and peripheral T-cell expansion, which could inform the development of future therapeutics. In this study, we sought to conduct a large, rigorous analysis of the relationship between time-updated BMI and long-term CD4+ cell recovery using the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) to pool longitudinal data from sites across multiple regions of the United States and Canada.

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NA-ACCORD is a multisite collaboration involving 25 cohort studies representing over 100 clinical and research facilities for HIV-infected persons in the United States and Canada, and it is one of the regional cohort study groups supported by the International epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) consortium of the National Institutes of Health.18 NA-ACCORD collects standardized data on demographic and clinical factors, antiretroviral medication use, laboratory values, medical diagnoses, and vital status. Data are transmitted to a centralized core at regular intervals for quality control and harmonization. Institutional review boards at each participating site have reviewed and approved the activities of NA-ACCORD.

We assessed the relationship between time-varying BMI and time-varying CD4+ cell count among ART-naïve adults initiating their first antiretroviral regimen (defined as 3 or more antiretroviral medications) between 1998 and 2010, and who had a BMI and CD4+ cell count value within 180 days before to 30 days following ART initiation (defined as baseline). Seventeen of the 25 NA-ACCORD cohorts collect repeated measurements of BMI (all cohorts use the BMI calculation: weight in kilograms divided by height in meters, squared), which included clinical sites in 28 states in all regions of the United States, the District of Columbia, and in Alberta, British Columbia, Ontario, and Quebec Provinces in Canada. Because pregnancy status is not recorded in the NA-ACCORD database and unrecorded pregnancies could have potential confounding effects on immune cell subsets, the primary analysis excluded female patients with more than a 10% change in weight over a 6-month period at any time after ART initiation (n = 1133).

The demographic and clinical characteristics of cohort participants were compared according to BMI category at ART initiation using Kruskal–Wallis or chi square tests. For these comparisons, BMI was categorized according to standard convention as underweight (<18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (18.5–24.9 kg/m2), overweight (25–29.9 kg/m2), obese (30–39.9 kg/m2), or morbidly obese (≥40 kg/m2).19 For the longitudinal analyses, BMI was treated as a continuous variable.

Repeated BMI measurements were available after ART initiation, and the association between BMI at sequential time points (ie, the time-updated BMI value) and the CD4+ cell count closest to each time point was evaluated. The primary analysis modeled the relationship between time-updated BMI (predictor) and CD4+ cell count over time (outcome) using a linear mixed effects model with a random intercept per patient, autoregressive serial correlation, and adjusting for (as fixed effects) time since ART initiation, age at ART initiation, sex, race (white vs. nonwhite), initial ART regimen class [protease inhibitor (PI)-based, non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based, nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) only, or other], year of ART initiation, baseline CD4+ cell count and log10-transformed HIV 1-RNA, and cohort. Two-way interactions between BMI and time, sex, and race were included in the model. Each patient could contribute up to 13 years of data to the analysis depending on year of treatment initiation and retention in care. CD4+ cell count was square-root-transformed to make normality assumptions more reasonable. All continuous covariates were fit with restricted cubic splines (6 knots).

The baseline BMI and CD4+ cell count values were defined as the closest measurement within 180 days before to 30 days after ART initiation. All records with at least 1 CD4+ cell count after ART initiation were included in the analysis, provided a BMI measurement within the window of 180 days before to 180 days after the CD4+ cell count measurement could be identified. Repeat use of BMI measurements for different CD4+ cell counts was permitted. The mean square-root-transformed CD4 as a function of BMI and other predictors was extracted from the final model and back-transformed (squared) to create figures of the “predicted mean CD4” at different covariate values.

Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the effect of incomplete viral suppression on the results of the primary analysis and the effect of excluding female patients with more than a 10% weight change over a 6-month period during follow-up (a criterion used to identify potential pregnancies). The first sensitivity analysis restricted the cohort to those who were virologically suppressed for more than 50% of their follow-up time. Time spent virologically suppressed was defined as the cumulative number of treatment days following a plasma HIV-1 RNA measurement less than 400 copies per milliliter (this threshold was based on the sensitivity of laboratory assays used at the start of the follow-up period). If this time for a given subject exceeded the number of treatment days following a plasma HIV-1 RNA greater than or equal to 400 copies per milliliter, then the subject was deemed as having been virologically suppressed more than 50% of the time. Only records with nonmissing HIV-1 RNA measurements were considered for calculating cumulative suppression time. The second sensitivity analysis censored patients at the first instance of virologic failure, defined as a viral load greater than 1000 copies per milliliter (based on DHHS recommendations), or at the second of 2 consecutive detectable measurements greater than or equal to 400 copies per milliliter.20 The third sensitivity analysis incorporated data from the 1133 women excluded in the primary analysis due to a greater than 10% weight change over a 6-month period.

Analyses were performed using R (version 3.1.2; The analysis code is posted at

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Data on 14,084 HIV-infected, ART-naive individuals who started treatment between 1998 and 2010, met inclusion criteria, and had a baseline BMI and CD4+ cell count value recorded were available from 17 cohorts in NA-ACCORD. The race/ethnicity distribution was 42% non-Hispanic white, 38% non-Hispanic black, 15% Hispanic, 4% other, and 1% unknown. Table 1 shows characteristics of patients as a function of BMI at ART initiation. Higher BMI participants were more likely to be female, nonwhite, start ART in a later calendar year, and have a higher pretreatment CD4+ cell count and a lower pretreatment log10 viral load (P < 0.01 for all). The percentage of underweight individuals (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2) starting a PI-based regimen was higher than for other BMI categories, but the proportion of PI-based and NNRTI-based first-line ART regimens was relatively uniform in the normal weight through morbidly obese categories.



After 1 year of ART, 20% of participants with a normal BMI at ART initiation had become overweight, and 15% of those overweight at baseline had become obese (Table 2). After 3 years of ART, 22% of participants with a normal BMI at ART initiation had become overweight, and 18% of those overweight at baseline had become obese. The reclassification from normal BMI to overweight after 3 years of ART was most common among white males (23%), whereas a shift from overweight to obese was most common among nonwhite females (21%; see Table 1, Supplemental Digital Content, Fewer overweight or obese participants moved to the next lower BMI category after 3 years (16% and 13%, respectively).



A higher time-updated BMI was significantly associated with a greater CD4+ cell count over time (P < 0.001). The predicted mean CD4+ cell counts over time on ART at the BMI values of 18.5, 22, 25, 30, and 40 kg/m2 are shown in Figure 1. Although higher BMI values were accompanied by higher pretreatment CD4+ cell counts, the estimated CD4+ cell counts increased disproportionately at higher BMI values in the years after ART initiation. The mean CD4+ cell count was 14% higher for a BMI of 30 kg/m2 at the start of ART compared with a BMI of 22 kg/m2 (328 vs. 288 cells per microliter) and 20% higher for a BMI of 40 kg/m2 compared with a BMI of 22 kg/m2 (347 vs. 288 cells per microliter; see Table 2, Supplemental Digital Content, However, the estimated CD4+ cell count for a BMI of 30 kg/m2 at year 5 of ART treatment was 22% higher than the estimated count for a BMI of 22 kg/m2 at the same time point (606 vs. 498 cells per microliter), and the estimated CD4+ cell count for a BMI of 40 kg/m2 at year 5 was 34% higher than the estimated count for a BMI of 22 kg/m2 (665 vs. 498 cells per microliter).



The sex-stratified and race-stratified mean CD4+ cell counts on ART across the range of BMI values from the linear mixed effects model, adjusted for time on treatment and other covariates, are shown in Figure 2. The relationship between BMI and CD4+ cell count differed significantly by race (P < 0.001 for the BMI-race interaction term) but not by sex (P = 0.13 for the BMI-sex term).



Two sensitivity analyses were performed to assess how incomplete virologic suppression may have affected the results of the primary model. The first sensitivity analysis censored patients at the first instance of virologic failure defined as either 2 consecutive viral load measurements greater than or equal to 400 copies per milliliter or a single measurement greater than 1000 copies per milliliter (Figure 1, Supplemental Digital Content,, shows the proportion of patients who met one of these criteria over time). The second sensitivity analysis included only those participants who maintained virologic suppression for more than half of their recorded follow-up. (Table 3, Supplemental Digital Content, describes the 9796 patients who met this criterion). A similar association between time-updated BMI and CD4+ cell count over time was observed when patients were censored at virologic failure (Fig. 3A) and when the cohort was limited to those with viral suppression for more than half the follow-up period (Fig. 3B). In both sensitivity analyses, the relationship between time-updated BMI and CD4+ cell count over time was significant (P < 0.001 for both), but the magnitude of the divergence over time between high and low BMI values was not as pronounced as the primary analysis.



A third sensitivity analysis incorporated data from the 1133 female patients excluded in the primary analysis due to a greater than 10% weight change over a 6-month period after ART initiation (a criterion used to identify potential pregnancies). The addition of these women enlarged the cohort to 15,217 patients (male and female). Compared to women not excluded, those with a 10% or greater weight change were of similar age at ART initiation, but were more likely to be white, had a lower pretreatment BMI and CD4+ T-cell count, received a PI-containing first ART regimen, and started ART in an earlier calendar year (P < 0.01 for all). As observed in the primary analysis, a higher time-updated BMI was significantly associated with a greater CD4+ cell count over time (P < 0.001). Furthermore, the predicted CD4+ cell counts over time on ART at the BMI values of 18.5, 22, 25, 30, and 40 kg/m2 for the 15,217 patient cohort were very similar to the primary analysis (see Figure 2, Supplemental Digital Content,, as were the estimated mean CD4+ cell counts for each of the reference BMI values at 1, 3, and 5 years after ART initiation (see Table 2, Supplemental Digital Content,

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The reconstitution of peripheral CD4+ cells and the recovery of cellular immune function is the goal of ART, but the host factors contributing to these processes are poorly understood. We found that a higher BMI over time was an independent predictor of a higher CD4+ cell count, and this association became more pronounced after several years of ART treatment. At present, it is unclear whether a difference in CD4+ cell recovery of the magnitude we observed has any impact on survival or other health outcomes. Although a lower risk of death and incident cardiovascular, hepatic, renal or oncologic diseases has been reported in HIV patients on ART with a BMI of approximately 30 kg/m2 compared to higher and lower values, the potential benefits of a more robust CD4+ cell recovery need to be balanced against the adverse metabolic effects of being overweight or obese.21–23

Although the clinical consequences of greater CD4+ cell recovery in higher BMI individuals are uncertain, this analysis still makes 2 valuable contributions to the HIV research field. First, by incorporating data from multiple, diverse cohorts of HIV-infected individuals in over half of the US States and several Canadian provinces, and accounting for changes in weight on ART and the loss of virologic suppression, we have provided a more complete picture of the long-term relationship between BMI and CD4+ cell count as compared to prior single cohort or short-term analyses. Second, even if the relatively modest increase in CD4+ cell counts associated with higher BMI is not of clinical importance, our findings suggest the presence of a true, biological link between adiposity and peripheral CD4+ cell expansion that persists over many years of ART and may reflect a mechanistic pathway with therapeutic potential, particularly in patients with low BMI and poor immune recovery on treatment.

Prior studies of smaller cohorts and shorter follow-up periods have found inconsistent associations between BMI at ART initiation and CD4+ cell recovery. A single-center study from the Southeastern United States (a region with a high prevalence of obesity) found 12-month CD4+ cell count gains after ART initiation were greatest among those with a pretreatment BMI of 25–30 kg/m2, and diminished above and below this range.11 Similarly, 2 analyses from the US Military HIV Natural History Study found that being obese conferred a significantly lower adjusted gain in CD4+ cells on ART compared with normal weight, patients.8,9 In contrast, an analysis of ART-naïve, HIV-infected men in the ACTG Longitudinal Linked Randomized Trials (ALLRT) cohort found CD4+ cell recovery was significantly higher at 144 weeks among overweight (35 cells per microliter) and obese (113 cells per microliter) patients achieving virologic suppression compared to those with normal BMI.10 Lastly, a prior analysis in NA-ACCORD of pretreatment BMI and 12-month CD4+ cell recovery found a BMI of 30 kg/m2 was associated with a higher 12-month CD4+ cell gain among women (26 cells per microliter) and men (12 cells per microliter) compared with the reference of 25 kg/m2.24 However, among women the higher CD4+ cell gains persisted at pretreatment BMI levels above 30 kg/m2, whereas among men the effect was attenuated. We did not observe a similar sex difference in our analysis, suggesting this 12-month finding may not persist with time.

An association between adiposity and peripheral immune cell numbers and distribution has also been reported in HIV-negative individuals. Persons with congenital or acquired (non-HIV) lipoatrophy have peripheral CD4+ cell counts in the low-normal range,25,26 and prolonged malnutrition is associated with a decline in circulating lymphocytes.27,28 A longitudinal survey of HIV-negative women found that being overweight, obese, or morbidly obese was independently associated with progressively higher CD4+ cell and total lymphocyte counts compared to being normal weight.29 Lastly, a recent cross-sectional study of normal weight, overweight, and obese HIV-negative adults found BMI was positively associated with the total number of Th1-type CD4+ cells and a higher Th1/Th2 ratio.30

As an epidemiologic study, our analysis could not assess the direction of the causal relationship between BMI and CD4+ cell count, and further studies will be needed to clarify whether higher BMI causes greater CD4+ cell expansion versus a greater CD4+ count recovery promotes weight gain. We postulate the former hypothesis is correct, as the percentage of overweight individuals in our cohort who became obese after 3 years of ART was far lower than the percentage of underweight persons who became normal weight; a finding also supported by a recent NA-ACCORD analysis showing significantly less weight gain after 3 years of ART among patients starting treatment at a higher BMI.31 This suggests that a robust CD4+ cell recovery was not the cause of weight gain, as more weight gain occurred in the underweight and normal individuals compared with the overweight despite the disproportionately greater CD4+ cell recovery observed at higher BMI values. Furthermore, the finding that a higher BMI was also associated with higher CD4+ cell counts in the studies of HIV-negative persons described above provides an opportunity to assess the CD4+ count and BMI relationship in the absence of dynamic CD4+ changes following ART initiation, albeit in a population with very different health status compared with HIV-infected individuals.25,26,29

Although we postulate that a higher BMI promotes CD4+ cell recovery, an argument can be supported for the reverse causal relationship in which robust CD4+ cell gains after ART initiation are an indicator of a “metabolic surplus” of energy, previously consumed by the body's response to viremia, which leads to weight gain over time and a higher BMI. This hypothesis is supported in part by a recent Veterans Aging Cohort Study analysis, which found the risk of mortality among underweight and normal weight patients starting ART declined in proportion to weight gain on ART32; a finding also reported among malnourished HIV patients in sub-Saharan Africa.33 Given the competing hypotheses regarding causality, further studies of basal energy expenditure before and after ART initiation, and an assessment of phenotypic and functional differences in T cells from patients with varying BMI values, are warranted.

A potential mechanism linking body composition and immune recovery may be the effect of adipokines, or circulating hormones released by adipocytes, on peripheral CD4+ cell proliferation. One candidate is leptin, an adipokine which circulates in rough proportion to fat mass, shares structural similarities with the long-chain helical cytokine family, and targets a receptor present on CD4+ cells with structural and functional similarities to the gp130 family.34–38 Leptin stimulates T-cell proliferative responses and polarizes CD4+ cells toward the Th1 phenotype in vitro, but human trials of recombinant leptin in HIV infection have not shown a clear benefit.38–41 Although the administration of physiologic quantities of recombinant leptin to non-HIV-infected adults with congenital or acquired lipodystrophy can increase peripheral CD4+ and CD8+ cell counts, 2 trials in HIV-infected individuals have not shown an increase in CD4+ cell recovery on ART.25,42–44 However, one population that might benefit from leptin therapy are HIV-infected individuals with low or low-normal BMI and poor immune recovery, such as patients in resource limited settings, and additional trials are needed in this specific population.

Our analysis benefited from a large sample size, but had several limitations. As an epidemiologic study, it could not assess the direction of the causal relationship between BMI and CD4+ cell count, and it could not account for unrecognized confounders (eg, nutritional factors, socioeconomic status, or educational attainment) not contained in the NA-ACCORD database. Body mass index is an imprecise measure of body composition compared with MRI or dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) imaging, and heterogeneity in adipose and lean tissue mass may have been present, particularly in the normal BMI and overweight categories. Furthermore, a shorter time to virologic suppression among heavier patients could confer an advantage in early immune recovery; but in the absence of daily or weekly plasma measurements, we could not evaluate this possibility, and any effect would likely dissipate over several years of follow-up.

Greater adiposity appears to be associated with a long-term advantage in CD4+ cell recovery on ART, but at present it is uncertain if the association is causal, if it is clinically important to patient care, and if it reflects any qualitative difference in T-cell functional responses. Prior studies have linked body composition with the risk of HIV-related and non-HIV-related health outcomes, and future studies should investigate how BMI and CD4+ cell recovery interact in relation to the risk of mortality and cardiometabolic and other noncommunicable diseases in the HIV population. Additionally, translational studies to characterize the biological mechanisms linking body composition and peripheral CD4+ cell expansion are warranted and could lead to novel therapies for patients with suboptimal immune reconstitution.

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HIV; obesity; immune reconstitution; CD4; antiretroviral therapy; nutrition

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