New pediatric HIV infection rates in Africa, home to >90% of the world's 3.4 million HIV-infected children, are slowing.1 Nevertheless, substantial challenges remain. African mother-to-child HIV transmission rate targets are <5%, but most countries are not meeting this goal.2 Early antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV-infected infants reduces mortality,3–5 yet <25% of eligible African children receive ART.6 Low ART coverage is largely because of delayed diagnosis of infants,4 who require molecular diagnostic HIV testing with either HIV DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or HIV RNA PCR. Both tests have limited availability and slow result turnaround time throughout Africa.7,8 These missed opportunities for early infant diagnosis of HIV contribute to high mortality rates for HIV-infected African infants.4
In Malawi, a southern African country with an 11% adult HIV prevalence,1 improving infant HIV care will require both community and facility-based strategies.9 Given the high HIV prevalence and advanced immunosuppression commonly present in hospitalized Malawian children,10,11 hospitals are key HIV care entry points. Routine in-hospital HIV testing, for example, can identify younger HIV-infected children and increase their access to ART.12,13 But the approach has not fulfilled its potential, as many infants miss their DNA PCR results after testing and result disclosure delays.
One solution to existing DNA PCR system gaps would be a point-of-care infant HIV test that is simple, rapidly processed, and does not require a laboratory.7 Such a point-of-care test could eliminate many of the DNA PCR system barriers, so practitioners could expediently determine an infant's HIV status and start ART before hospital discharge. The World Health Organization (WHO) clinical algorithm for identifying symptomatic HIV-infected infants, called presumptive diagnosis, could meet these needs. However, it has not been widely implemented because of performance concerns,5,14–17 and its key clinical end points including ART initiation have not been rigorously studied. Although preliminary studies with recently developed molecular point-of-care infant HIV tests suggest that their sensitivity and specificity profiles will outperform the WHO algorithm,7 at this time, the clinical implications of a point-of-care infant HIV test have not been thoroughly investigated.
Therefore, we conducted a randomized controlled trial to compare patient outcomes between an optimized standard care, defined as a pediatrician evaluation using the WHO algorithm in addition to an HIV DNA PCR test with results turnaround times of several weeks, versus a rapid HIV RNA PCR (Rapid PCR) test with a 48-hour turn-around time, which allows patients to receive definitive test results before hospital discharge. Consequently, this Rapid PCR test serves as a surrogate point-of-care infant molecular test, because it permits the clinician to use a definitive HIV status to determine hospital ART eligibility, similar to a true point-of-care test. We hypothesized that Rapid PCR would initiate a greater proportion of HIV-infected infants on ART during hospitalization and expose fewer molecular test-negative infants to ART, compared with an optimized standard care.
Study Setting, Enrollment, and Definitions
This study occurred between February and November 2011 at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Lilongwe, Malawi. KCH admits >13,000 children annually.10 Mother–infant pairs were offered routine HIV antibody testing in the pediatric wards10 and were invited for enrollment if the infant was HIV-exposed and aged <12 months. Study staff obtained written informed consent from caregivers. At enrollment, patients were randomized by computer-generated permutation to either optimized standard care (WHO clinical algorithm evaluation plus DNA PCR) or Rapid PCR (on-site RNA PCR, with results returned within 48 hours, instead of standard care using the WHO clinical algorithm plus DNA PCR). We chose a randomized controlled study design after carefully considering multiple factors including what we believed to be the best methodological approach for answering our primary research question along with practical issues, including overall feasibility, cost, and ethical considerations. The study pediatrician and caregivers were not blinded. All infants had a physical examination and chest radiograph interpreted by the study pediatrician. Clinical- and laboratory-confirmed diagnoses and treatments were according to Malawi and WHO guidelines or consensus recommendations.18–20 Patients were excluded if they were previously documented as HIV-uninfected or HIV-infected, or if they were HIV-exposed but unlikely to be HIV-infected because their mother was adherent to ART for >1 year. The latter group was excluded because ethical review determined that both the risk and costs of empiric ART initiation outweighed its potential benefits in this cadre of likely HIV-uninfected children.
An infant could meet the definition of HIV exposure and be eligible for enrollment in 2 ways. First, HIV exposure included children, irrespective of breastfeeding status, never previously tested for HIV and born to an HIV-infected mother. Second, a child was also HIV-exposed if HIV DNA PCR negative or with an undetectable quantity of HIV virus on RNA PCR (<400 copies/mL) and breastfeeding from an HIV-infected mother <6 weeks after the date of either test. This HIV exposure definition did not rely on HIV antibody positivity because both severely ill HIV-infected children and acutely HIV-infected children could be HIV antibody-negative. We defined HIV infection as infants with a positive HIV DNA PCR (standard care) or >10,000 copies per milliliter of HIV virus on RNA PCR (Rapid PCR). HIV molecular test-negative infants were participants that had either a negative HIV DNA PCR (standard care) or undetectable quantity of HIV virus on RNA PCR [<400 copies/mL (Rapid PCR)] irrespective of ongoing breastfeeding status. For additional definitions, see Supplemental Digital Content 1 (http://links.lww.com/QAI/A495).
Blood for HIV antibodies (Alere, Trinity Biotech) and either dried blood spot HIV DNA PCR [Amplicor HIV-1 DNA Test, version 1.5 (Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.)] or RNA PCR [Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor, version 1.5 (Roche Molecular Systems, Inc., Pleasanton, CA)] were drawn from standard care and Rapid PCR patients, respectively, based on randomization results. DNA PCR tests were routinely processed at the government KCH laboratory, whereas RNA PCR tests were processed as prescribed by the manufacturer using manual extraction and PCR setup (see manufacturer package insert for procedure details) at the University of North Carolina Project laboratory at KCH. A complete blood count with differential, malaria blood smear, blood culture, and a CD4 cell count percentage were collected on all infants and analyzed at the study laboratory.
Each child received a tuberculin skin test, which was assessed 48–72 hours after placement. Children at high risk for tuberculosis (see Supplemental Digital Content 1,http://links.lww.com/QAI/A495) had an induced sputum and gastric aspirate microscopy, evaluated by fluorescent microscopy, and culture using mycobacteria growth indicator tube liquid media (Becton, Dickinson and Company, Franklin Lakes, NJ) or Lowenstein–Jensen solid agar (Remel, Lenexa, KS). Among children meeting WHO-defined pneumonia criteria or the Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia case definition (see Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links.lww.com/QAI/A495), sputum was analyzed by immunofluorescence for P. jirovecii (Biorad, Hercules, CA). Sputum specimen quality was not evaluated because no pediatric standards existed at the time of the study.21
WHO Algorithm Evaluation and ART Eligibility
Standard care infants were evaluated per the WHO algorithm (see Supplemental Digital Content 2,http://links.lww.com/QAI/A495). WHO algorithm-positive infants were HIV antibody-positive and had ≥2 conditions (severe sepsis, severe or very severe pneumonia, or oral thrush). Alternatively, infants not meeting criteria of ≥2 conditions could still be WHO algorithm-positive if found with 1 AIDS-specific condition (P. jirovecii pneumonia, esophageal candidiasis, treatment-unresponsive severe malnutrition, extrapulmonary tuberculosis, Kaposi sarcoma, cerebral toxoplasmosis, or cryptococcal meningitis). We classified HIV-exposed infants who tested HIV antibody-negative as ineligible for evaluation by the WHO algorithm, per their antibody-negative status.
If an infant was WHO algorithm-positive, caregivers were counseled that their infant was likely HIV-infected and would benefit from ART (stavudine, lamivudine, and nevirapine). The risks and benefits of commencing ART in a WHO algorithm-positive child were discussed with caregivers. Caregivers of Rapid PCR-positive infants were similarly counseled regarding ART.
Study staff followed infants, irrespective of HIV status, for at least 1 month after hospital discharge or ART initiation in a hospital-based study clinic to ensure receipt of molecular test results, rereview ART eligibility, and assess for adverse outcomes. ART was continued in WHO algorithm-positive infants taking ART subsequently found to be DNA PCR-positive during follow-up. ART was stopped in DNA PCR-negative infants previously started on ART because of their in-hospital WHO algorithm-positive status. Caregivers of WHO algorithm-negative infants testing DNA PCR-positive were recounseled regarding HIV infection and ART. Immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS) was defined as infants with a new illness after ART and clinical signs as previously defined.22 HIV-infected and molecular test-negative infants still breastfeeding were transferred to a government HIV clinic once stable with a confirmed HIV status.
The Malawi National Health Science Research Committee, UNC-Chapel Hill School of Medicine, and Baylor College of Medicine Institutional Review Boards approved this study. This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01388452.
Data were tested for normality using Q–Q plots and Shapiro–Wilk tests. Normally distributed data were described with mean and standard deviation and were compared using a student t test. Nonparametric data were described with median and interquartile range and were compared using the Mann–Whitney U test. Proportions were compared using Pearson χ2 or Fisher exact test; when a covariate had 3 or more categories, a global χ2 test was performed, and when significant, post hoc individual pairwise testing was performed, with alpha adjusted according to Bonferroni correction. All statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics version 20 (IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY).
In all, 300 infants were randomized [150 per group (Fig. 1)]. Enrollment characteristics of both groups were similar (Table 1). The median age of all 300 subjects was 4.6 months, and 153 (51%) were females. Although nearly 2/3 of mother–infant pairs, regardless of randomization, reported receipt of HIV prevention services, just 76 (25.3%) were receiving HIV care. We found that 234 (78.0%) subjects tested HIV antibody-positive with a normal mean CD4% (31.9%). The cohort's overall HIV prevalence was 31.0% [either DNA PCR-positive (standard care) or >10,000 copies/mL on RNA PCR (Rapid PCR)], with no prevalence difference between groups. The median age of the 66 infants who tested HIV antibody negative was 8.5 months (interquartile range, 6.9–10.7); 50 (75.8%) of these infants were breastfeeding and 6 (9.1%) were HIV molecular test-positive. The majority of all patients reported cough (67.3%), difficulty breathing (51.7%), and fever (65.7%) at presentation, and 52.6% had a WHO-defined abnormal chest radiograph.23
There were also no differences between the groups regarding hospital diagnoses or inpatient disposition (Table 2). Forty-four percent of the 119 HIV antibody-positive patients in the standard care group were WHO algorithm-positive and thus inpatient ART-eligible. The WHO algorithm achieved a sensitivity of 53.5%, specificity of 60.5%, and positive and negative predictive values of 43.4% and 69.7% for the 119 HIV antibody-positive standard care infants eligible for WHO algorithm evaluation. More than 60% of all infants met WHO pneumonia criteria. Sepsis was also common (44.7% standard care; 42.0% Rapid PCR), and P. jirovecii pneumonia, malaria, and gastroenteritis were each found in 1 in 4 children. In all, 9.3% of patients died while hospitalized.
Rapid RNA PCR results were returned a mean of 30 days earlier than DNA PCR results (Table 3; P < 0.001). In addition, a greater proportion of HIV-infected infants in the Rapid PCR group initiated ART in the hospital compared with standard care [34/47 (72.3%) vs 22/46 (47.8%), P = 0.016]. Because of early deaths shortly after enrollment, not all HIV-infected infants in the Rapid PCR group received ART. No molecular test-negative infants randomized to Rapid PCR were incorrectly initiated on ART while hospitalized, compared with 28/104 (26.9%) receiving standard care (P < 0.001). Of the 24 standard care DNA PCR-positive infants who did not receive in-hospital ART, 1 (4.2%) WHO algorithm-positive infant died in the hospital before ART could be initiated, 3 (12.5%) were ineligible for inpatient ART because of a negative HIV antibody test, and 20 (83.3%) were ART-ineligible per negative inpatient algorithm status. Fourteen of the 20 (70.0%) antibody or algorithm-negative PCR-positive infants who survived to hospital discharge also returned for follow-up, all of whom initiated outpatient ART. The median time between molecular HIV testing and ART was reduced by 3.5 days for HIV-infected infants in the Rapid PCR group versus the standard care group (P = 0.001), reflecting the fact that HIV-infected standard care infants received ART in a bimodal fashion (eg, hospital-initiated if WHO algorithm-positive or outpatient-initiated if algorithm-negative but DNA PCR-positive).
In a subgroup analysis of WHO algorithm-positive and Rapid PCR-positive infants (data not shown), we found no difference between the groups in the average time from testing to in-hospital ART (3.8 days, algorithm-positive vs 3.9 days, Rapid PCR-positive, P = 0.884). Nor were any differences found in outpatient follow-up rates, including WHO algorithm and Rapid PCR-positive infants who were initiated on ART while hospitalized [37/43 (86.0%) vs 28/34 (82.4%), P = 0.631].
Finally, of all 41 HIV-infected infants (DNA PCR-positive or >10,000 copies/mL on RNA PCR) started on inpatient ART and in care, 3 developed IRIS and 1 had a mild nevirapine rash at follow-up (data not shown). ART was continued in these patients. Furthermore, no differences in outpatient mortality or default rates were found among all HIV-infected infants stratified by inpatient ART (P = 0.785; Table 4), suggesting that factors unassociated with ART may have influenced these unfavorable outcomes. We also examined the implications of ART in DNA PCR-negative infants. Of the 22 WHO algorithm-positive children on ART who were PCR-negative, 1 died shortly after ART initiation because of primary illness, 2 defaulted, and 1 developed a nevirapine-associated rash. These default and death rates were no different from ART-naive molecular test-negative infants (Table 4).
The widespread availability of a point-of-care molecular HIV test will revolutionize the care of African infants. However, this hope is largely inferred from studies showing the limitations of current care, rather than direct evaluation of key clinical end points of a point-of-care test.4 Although several promising molecular point-of-care tests are in development, none are yet approved for routine use.7 In this study, we accelerated the PCR reporting time from more than 1 month to just 48 hours, enabling us to simulate, and thus evaluate, a rapid molecular HIV test and its clinical implications for hospitalized infants. The Rapid PCR test we used here successfully achieved the same clinical end points that would be targeted by a point-of-care test performed in the hospital, including that all Rapid PCR subjects received their results and were offered ART if HIV-infected before discharge. Our data demonstrates that a rapid PCR test in hospitalized African infants, compared with an idealized standard care, greatly increases ART access but only modestly reduces the time between HIV testing and ART initiation for infants found to be HIV-infected. Rapid molecular testing also more effectively uses resources by eliminating unnecessary ART exposure for patients with a negative molecular HIV test.
Point-of-care serologic HIV tests have been in use for >10 years and offer a glimpse of what could be achieved with widespread implementation of an infant point-of-care molecular HIV test. Point-of-care serologic testing has been a key driver in the dramatic increase in HIV testing access for African adults in areas with limited laboratory support24 and have ensured that almost every HIV-infected adult receives their test results, and hence a definitive HIV diagnosis, so that they can consider ART immediately.25–27 In our study, clinical staff consistently expressed an increased motivation to test Malawian infants for HIV since a rapid molecular test was available. This observation is supported by the unexpectedly short enrollment time frame and suggests that a scale-up of point-of-care molecular testing should further increase infant access to HIV diagnostics. Our results also demonstrate for the first time that a high proportion of HIV-infected infants with positive rapid molecular tests received their results and commenced ART expediently.
Our data show that a Rapid PCR test, compared with optimized standard care, will enable clinicians to more proficiently prescribe ART to hospitalized HIV-infected infants. However, it was not yet known whether commencing ART during hospitalization is either a judicious use of resources, given historical 31.7%–32.7% initial attrition rates after discharge in ART-naive patients,10,13 or safe, considering the likelihood of IRIS when starting ART in an acutely ill infant.28 Our results suggest that ART initiation should not be deferred until outpatient follow-up solely on the basis of initial default rates, as 82.4% of HIV-infected infants in the Rapid PCR group on ART returned for outpatient care. These initial follow-up rates are higher than previously reported,10,13 and could reflect greater caregiver motivation to follow-up after definitive infant diagnosis and prescription for ART. Recent evidence shows that hospital-identified HIV-infected children, once established in outpatient care, have 1-year attrition rates no different than their community-identified counterparts.12 However, our high follow-up rates may partly reflect the controlled, more rigorous conditions of our study design and might not be replicable in a routine programmatic setting. We also found little reason to defer in-hospital ART initiation on the basis of a high incidence of IRIS or acute ART toxicities. These findings contrast with current clinical practice in Africa, by which providers delay ART initiation until outpatient care, largely on these concerns. Although we acknowledge that our follow-up duration was short, evidence suggests the majority of IRIS cases usually occur soon after ART initiation and within this study's follow-up time frame.28 Given that the hospital will be an important ART access point for African infants for the foreseeable future, our results warrant additional study of longer-term care retention for HIV-affected infants first identified in the hospital, and of rates and severity of IRIS in HIV-infected hospitalized infants initiated on ART while recovering from an acute illness.
Our study applied the WHO clinical algorithm to all hospitalized HIV antibody-positive standard care subjects and offered ART if they were algorithm-positive. Standard program conditions throughout most African hospitals do not typically include routine use of the WHO clinical algorithm as implemented during this study. Instead, real-world standard care consists of infants waiting weeks for their DNA PCR results, with the majority defaulting before receiving their results and entering care.4 These data demonstrate that despite its shortcomings compared with Rapid PCR, routine use of the WHO algorithm can serve as a useful bridge between the currently used DNA PCR testing system and the next-generation point-of-care molecular tests under development. Three aspects of our data support this position. First, nearly 50% of HIV-infected infants were initiated on ART in the standard care group before hospital discharge. Current evidence suggests that most of these infants may otherwise not have gained access to these life-saving medicines, especially if they were forced to wait at least 1 month for their DNA PCR results.4,13 Second, our data imply that starting ART on acutely ill HIV-infected infants may be safe, and that temporarily initiating ART on molecular test-negative infants could be equally benign. However, given our relatively small sample size, additional confirmatory research is needed to determine the true rates of IRIS and ART toxicities. Finally, we found that the timeliness of ART initiation in WHO algorithm-positive infants (3.8 days) compared favorably with Rapid PCR-positive patients (3.9 days), thus allowing ART initiation before hospital discharge. Taken together, these data indicate that without a point-of-care molecular test, the WHO algorithm is still a useful tool that can help alleviate some of the inherent drawbacks of current infant HIV DNA PCR testing systems.
Our study has several weaknesses. We likely underestimated the prevalence of ART toxicity since we relied on clinical screening for side effects followed by laboratory confirmation on suspected cases only. With this approach, we found no cases of nevirapine-associated hepatotoxicity, for example, although subclinical cases could have been missed. However, the effect of any subclinical toxicity was likely minimal, because outcomes were no different when we controlled for ART exposure. This study is also limited by our unblinded study design, which increases the likelihood of observer and participant bias. However, a blinded design would be unethical, given that it would be inappropriate to counsel algorithm-positive and -negative patients identically to Rapid PCR patients regarding HIV status. Finally, our hospital-based results may not reflect outpatient performance of either a point-of-care molecular diagnostic or the WHO algorithm, for 2 reasons. First, our 48-hour Rapid PCR test, if used in outpatient clinics, would require 2 separate visits (1 for blood collection and another to deliver results), whereas only 1 visit is needed for a true point-of-care test. Second, outpatient HIV prevalence is lower and patients are generally less ill than in the hospital, such that fewer HIV-infected infants meet WHO clinical criteria in a clinic setting. Thus, the generalizability of our results to the outpatient setting would require further study.
In summary, we simulated a point-of-care molecular HIV test in a hospital setting, and found that Rapid PCR, compared with an optimized standard care predicated on routine use of the WHO clinical algorithm, greatly improves ART access for HIV-infected infants, while minimizing unnecessary ART exposure for infants with negative molecular HIV test results. The WHO algorithm compared favorably with Rapid PCR from the perspective of ART timing and initial outpatient follow-up for Rapid PCR and WHO algorithm-positive infants. Therefore, until a point-of-care molecular HIV test is widely available, we recommend the routine use of the WHO clinical algorithm for hospitalized African infants in resource-constrained settings.
The authors express their gratitude to the children and caregivers who participated in the study. The authors also thank, in particular, the Malawi Ministry of Health for their contributions to this project.
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