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Abstracts of the 2019 Annual Conference of the International Society for Environmental Epidemiology, August 25-28 2019, Utrecht, the Netherlands

Source-specific Fine Particulate Using Spatiotemporal Concentration Fields Developed using Chemical Transport Modelling and Data Assimilation: Application to North Carolina for Health Associations with Coronary Heart Disease

A, Russell1; R, Huang1; X, Zhai1; C, Ivey2; G, Shi3; R, Devlin4

Author Information
doi: 10.1097/01.EE9.0000609796.01679.34
  • Open

OPS 47: Increasing spatiotemporal resolution in assessment of exposure to outdoor air pollutants, Room 412, Floor 4, August 27, 2019, 4:30 PM - 5:30 PM

A number of studies have found differing associations of disease outcomes with PM2.5 components (or species), and sources (e.g., biomass burning, diesel vehicle and gasoline vehicle). Here, a unique data fusion method has been utilized to generate spatiotemporal fields of major gaseous pollutants and PM2.5 components (e.g., ozone, NO2, SO2, total PM2.5 mass and speciated PM2.5 including crustal metals) over North Carolina for 2002-2010. In a prior study, the PM2.5 total mass field was used as part of the CATHGEN study of associations between PM2.5 and disease associated with cardiac heart disease patients. Here, we extend the exposure method for further health analyses. The method fuses daily CMAQ model observations with observations to develop accurate spatiotemporal maps of pollutant concentrations. Those results are then used in an advanced chemical mass balance source apportionment model, CMBGC-Iteration that uses both gas and particulate matter concentrations to quantify source impacts. The method, as applied to North Carolina, quantifies the impacts of nine source categories and estimate source contributions of total PM2.5 mass. The nine source categories include sources of both primary (diesel vehicle, gasoline vehicle, suspended dust, biomass burning, and coal combustion sources) and secondary components (ammonium sulfate, ammonium bisulfate, ammonium nitrate and secondary organic carbon). The results show the dramatic decrease in source impacts, e.g., sulfate, primarily from coal-burning, and from mobile sources. Secondary organic aerosol, e.g., from biogenic emissions, is becoming more dominant over the state. This study highlights an advantage of using a chemical transport model to develop spatiotemporal fields of pollutants, i.e., the ability to assess PM components and their sources.

Copyright © 2019 The Authors. Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of Environmental Epidemiology. All rights reserved.