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A Primer on Predictive Models

Waljee, Akbar K MD, MS1,2; Higgins, Peter D R MD, PhD1; Singal, Amit G MD, MS3,4

Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology: January 2014 - Volume 5 - Issue 1 - p e44
doi: 10.1038/ctg.2013.19
Clinical/Narrative Review: PDF Only
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Prediction research is becoming increasing popular; however, the differences between traditional explanatory research and prediction research are often poorly understood, resulting in a wide variation in the methodologic quality of prediction research. This primer describes the basic methods for conducting prediction research in gastroenterology and highlights differences between traditional explanatory research and predictive research.

1Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA

2Veterans Affairs Center for Clinical Management Research, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA

3Department of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA

4Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas, USA

*Correspondence: Akbar K. Waljee, MD, MS, Veterans Affairs Center for Clinical Management Research, Ann Arbor VA Medical Center, 2215 Fuller Road, 111D, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48105, USA. E-mail: awaljee@med.umich.edu

Received 20 June 13; revised 26 September 13; accepted 6 November 13

published online 26 December 2013

© 2014 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of The American College of Gastroenterology