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Presenting Symptoms Independently Predict Mortality in Septic Shock

Importance of a Previously Unmeasured Confounder*

Filbin, Michael R., MD, MSc1; Lynch, James, BS2; Gillingham, Trent D., MPH1; Thorsen, Jill E., BS1; Pasakarnis, Corey L., BS1; Nepal, Saurav, MBBS1; Matsushima, Minoru, PhD2; Rhee, Chanu, MD, MPH3; Heldt, Thomas, PhD2; Reisner, Andrew T., MD1

doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000003260
Clinical Investigations

Objectives: Presenting symptoms in patients with sepsis may influence rapidity of diagnosis, time-to-antibiotics, and outcome. We tested the hypothesis that vague presenting symptoms are associated with delayed antibiotics and increased mortality. We further characterized individual presenting symptoms and their association with mortality.

Design: Retrospective cohort study.

Setting: Emergency department of large, urban, academic U.S. hospital.

Patients: All adult patients with septic shock treated in the emergency department between April 2014 and March 2016.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and Main Results: Of 654 septic shock cases, 245 (37%) presented with vague symptoms. Time-to-antibiotics from first hypotension or elevated lactate was significantly longer for those with vague symptoms versus those with explicit symptoms of infection (1.6 vs 0.8 hr; p < 0.01), and in-hospital mortality was also substantially higher (34% vs 16%; p < 0.01). Patients with vague symptoms were older and sicker as evidenced by triage hypotension, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, initial serum lactate, and need for intubation. In multivariate analysis, vague symptoms were independently associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.32–3.40; p < 0.01), whereas time-to-antibiotics was not associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.94–1.08; p = 0.78). Of individual symptoms, only the absence of fever, chills, or rigors (odds ratio, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.63–4.47; p < 0.01) and presence of shortness of breath (odds ratio, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.23–3.15; p < 0.01) were independently associated with mortality.

Conclusions: More than one third of patients with septic shock presented to the emergency department with vague symptoms that were not specific to infection. These patients had delayed antibiotic administration and higher risk of mortality even after controlling for demographics, illness acuity, and time-to-antibiotics in multivariate analysis. These findings suggest that the nature of presenting symptoms is an important component of sepsis clinical phenotyping and may be an important confounder in sepsis epidemiologic studies.

1Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.

2Institute for Medical Engineering and Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA.

3Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA.

*See also p. 1690.

The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.

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Supported, in part, by the institutional award Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)-Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) Strategic Partnership; grants from Controlled Risk Insurance Company (CRICO) Risk Management Foundation and Nihon Kohden Corporation, and National Foundation of Emergency Medicine (NFEM) for Dr. Filbin.

Drs. Filbin, Heldt, and Reisner received grant support from Nihon Kohden Corporation and have a patent application related to electronic decision-support for sepsis management. Drs. Filbin’s and Reisner’s institutions received funding from CRICO Risk Management Foundation, and Nihon Kohden Corporation. Dr. Matsushima is employed by Nihon Kohden Corporation. Dr. Rhee’s institution received funding from Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (K08 award). Dr. Heldt’s institution received funding from Nihon Kohden Corporation. Dr. Reisner received funding from Covington and Burling (legal expert opinion). The remaining authors have disclosed that they do not have any potential conflicts of interest.

For information regarding this article, E-mail: mfilbin@mgh.harvard.edu

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