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ORIGINAL ARTICLES

Frailty in Older Patients Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy

Results From the UK Observational Emergency Laparotomy and Frailty (ELF) Study

Parmar, Kat L. BSc, MB ChB, MSc, PGCE, FRCSEng; Law, Jennifer BMBS, BMedSci, MSc; Carter, Ben PhD, MSc; Hewitt, Jonathan MB BS, MSc, FRCPGlas, PhD§; Boyle, Jemma M. MB ChB, PGCE, MRCS; Casey, Patrick MB ChB, MRCS||; Maitra, Ishaan BSc (Hons), MB ChB, MRCS∗∗; Farrell, Ian S. MB ChB, MPharm, MRCS††; Pearce, Lyndsay BMedSci, BMBS, FRCSEng‡‡; Moug, Susan J. BSc (Hons), MB ChB, PhD, FRCS§§; on behalf of the ELF Study Group

Author Information
doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000003402

Abstract

Emergency abdominal surgery is performed in every acute hospital in the United Kingdom, with the common aim to prevent death and minimize life-altering complications. The majority of these emergency laparotomies are performed on older adults (65 y and older) who, when compared with younger adults, have the highest postoperative mortality and morbidity, the highest utilization of intensive care resources, and subsequently, longer lengths of hospital stay.1–4 This older adult population has a predisposition to more complex clinical needs than younger adults as a consequence of a higher prevalence of multimorbidity, cognitive impairment, polypharmacy, and frailty.5,6 However, there is a paucity of good quality research to improve understanding of this expanding older adult population undergoing emergency surgery with many widely used prognostic indicators and tools having been developed from younger, healthier, and often elective patient cohorts.7–15

Frailty is defined as an objective measure of increased vulnerability and decreased physiological reserve, resulting from the age-associated accumulation of physiological deficits in multiple systems.16 Frailty results in diminished resilience to physiological insult such as surgery, preventing or impairing recovery, and return to preexisting functional level. In the medical setting where much prior work has focused, routine frailty assessment for older adult admissions has been accompanied by interventions to modify frailty such as the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA). The application of the CGA, that can include medical management, physiotherapy, nutrition, pharmacy, and occupational health, has led to improved patient survival and an ability to return to preadmission residence.17,18,19 Similar improved outcomes have been reported in patients with hip fractures as a result of orthogeriatrics input within the first 72 hours of hospital admission.20,21 In the emergency general surgery setting, 2 recent meta-analyses assessing the influence of frailty on older adults documented that the presence of frailty (ranging from 0.5% to 67.2%) led to significant increases in 30-day mortality, complications, and length of hospital stay.22,23 However, the inclusion of lower risk elective surgical patients and acute surgical patients managed conservatively, means the prevalence of frailty and its influence on postoperative outcomes in the high-risk emergency laparotomy setting remains unclear.

The primary aims of the Emergency Laparotomy and Frailty (ELF) Study were to determine the prevalence and influence of frailty on 90-day mortality in older adults undergoing emergency laparotomy. The influence of frailty on postoperative outcomes, including 30-day mortality, morbidity, and length of hospital stay, was evaluated as secondary aims.

METHODS

From March 20 to June19, 2017, all older patients (defined as 65 y and older) undergoing emergency laparotomy at 49 registered sites across the United Kingdom were screened for inclusion into the ELF Study.13 This multicentered prospective cohort study was conceived, designed, and led by 2 established research collaboratives: The North West Research Collaborative (NWRC—www.nwresearch.org) and the Older Persons Surgical Outcomes Collaboration (OPSOC—www.opsoc.eu).

Ethical approval was obtained from National Health Service Research Ethics Committee (Black Country Research Committee: November 2016; 16/WM/0500). The study was registered centrally with the Health Research Authority (England), the NHS Research Scotland Permissions Co-coordinating Centre (Scotland), and the Health and Care Research Permissions Service (Wales). The ELF study was registered online at www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02952430).

Site Recruitment

Participation from sites across the United Kingdom was invited using a presentation at the National Research Collaborative meeting in 2016 (www.nationalresearch.org.uk) and the use of social media (@ELFStudy). Fifty-six surgical centers from England, Scotland, and Wales registered with data collection received from 49 of those sites.

Patients

The full protocol was published in October 2017 according to STROBE Guidelines.24,25 Inclusion criteria were consistent with the established UK National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA; www.nela.org.uk/criteria).1 In general, older patients were included if undergoing an expedited, urgent, or emergency surgical abdominal procedure for gastrointestinal pathology (laparoscopic or open procedure) and/or returning to theatre for any major postoperative complication/dehiscence (Supplemental Digital Content, Appendix 1, https://links.lww.com/SLA/D28). The classification of intervention was defined according to the National Confidential Enquire into Patient Outcome and Death (NCEPOD) resulting in elective procedures being excluded.26

Data Collection

Preoperatively, each older adult had the following recorded: age and sex; number of comorbidities (allowing calculation of Charlson Comorbidity Index, CCI)8,9; care level/independence status (selected from home without carers, home with carers, residential home, nursing home, intermediate care, other); and polypharmacy (5 or more current medications). ASA grade (American Society of Anesthesiologists Grade)10 and P-POSSUM score were calculated as both are routinely collected as part of the NELA.11,12 The indication for surgery was documented and in theatre the procedure performed recorded.

Postoperatively, each patient completed 90-day follow-up. For the first 30 postoperative days, mortality was also recorded in addition to postoperative complications; length of critical care stay (level 2 High Dependency Unit, HDU and level 3 Intensive Care Unit, ICU); overall length of hospital stay; and readmission to hospital.

Completed anonymous datasets were entered into a specifically designed online secure electronic database (REDCap, www.project-redcap.org) developed and maintained by the North West Surgical Trials Centre (www.nwstc.org.uk).

Frailty Scoring

Each patient's surgical or nursing team assessed frailty preoperatively as part of standard care. The Clinical Frailty Score (CFS) developed by the Canadian Study of Health and Ageing (CSHA) was used (Supplemental Digital Content, Appendix 2, https://links.lww.com/SLA/D28).27 This 7-point progressive score was developed within an older adult population and is based on clinical judgment with a score of 1 to 4 being classified as nonfrail and 5 to 7 as frail. The CFS has been found to be a valid and reproducible score that is simple to understand and apply. OPSOC has used the CFS previously in the emergency surgical population to assess frailty.28

Data Completion and Validation

Regular emails to each registered site and Tweets were used to motivate data collection and update ELF Collaborators. To ensure accurate data collection, data validation was performed on 25% of data fields for 10% of cases at each site after study completion.

Statistical Analysis

Sample size justification from previous publication: to detect a 10% difference in 90-day postoperative mortality between frail and nonfrail patients (7.5% vs 17.5%), a sample size of 480 was required to maintain 80% power and 5% significance.28

The primary analysis was performed using a multilevel logistic regression of 90-day mortality by frailty, adjusted for age (65–74, and >75 y old) and sex. Each recruiting hospital was fitted as random effects to account for site variation. A secondary analysis of the primary outcome was carried out by presenting the crude odds ratio (OR) and adjusted OR (aOR), with associated 95% confidence intervals (Cis) and P values. Length of stay was analyzed with a zero-inflated negative binomial regression, and presented as the mean increased length of stay (in whole day integers) with associated 95% CI. We carried out an exploratory analysis to investigate the distribution of day 90 mortality, within age and frailty to determine if our findings could be explained in part by patient age. Statistical analyses were carried out using Stata 14 (StataCorp, www.stata.com).

Patient and Public Involvement

There was no patient and public involvement in this study as it was an observational study in a novel research area.

RESULTS

Patients and Procedure

A total of 956 older adults undergoing emergency laparotomy were recruited to the study. Nineteen patients were excluded due to incomplete or incorrectly entered data, leaving 937 patients in the final analysis (Fig. 1).

F1
FIGURE 1:
ELF Study flow diagram.

Table 1 displays the preoperative patient characteristics by frailty score. Overall, frailty (CFS 5, 6, and 7) was present in 20% of older adults undergoing emergency surgery. The mean age of the patients was 76 years (SD 6.82; range 65–99) with over a third (38%) aged 80 or older. Eighty-nine percent of older adults had documented comorbidity; 54% polypharmacy, and the majority (83%) were admitted from home without carers. Two-thirds of patients (66%) were ASA 3 or more.

TABLE 1 - Characteristics of Older Adults Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy, by Frailty Score
Clinical Frailty Score (CFS)
Very Fit Well Well, With Treated Comorbid Disease Apparently Vulnerable Mildly Frail Moderately Frail Severely Frail Total (%) N = 937
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
55 (6%) 206 (22%) 287 (31%) 199 (21%) 126 (13%) 58 (6%) 6 (1%)
Country
 England 37 142 191 143 84 37 3 637 (68)
 Wales 10 31 34 14 18 10 117 (12)
 Scotland 8 33 62 42 24 11 3 183 (19)
Age group, y
 65–70 21 50 48 37 13 8 1 178 (19)
 70–75 13 64 70 52 32 14 3 248 (26)
 75–80 13 45 74 44 29 10 1 216 (23)
 80–85 6 23 60 38 32 12 171 (18)
 85–90 20 27 22 16 10 95 (10)
 90+ 2 4 8 6 4 4 1 29 (3)
Sex
 Female 25 123 165 112 73 39 3 540 (57)
 Male 30 83 122 87 53 19 3 397 (43)
Charlson Comorbidity Index
 None 25 47 21 5 4 2 0 104 (11)
 1–2 (mild) 7 48 101 54 32 16 1 259 (28)
 3–4 (moderate) 21 102 123 92 48 22 4 412 (44)
 ≥5 (severe) 2 9 42 48 42 18 1 162 (17)
Polypharmacy
 No 49 153 120 60 27 14 1 424 (45)
 Yes 6 53 166 138 97 43 5 508 (54)
 Missing 5 (1)
 ASA I 17 11 3 31 (3)
 ASA II 24 109 91 32 19 8 283 (30)
ASA Grade
 ASA III 9 59 146 112 67 25 4 422 (45)
 ASA IV 4 25 40 46 36 24 2 177 (19)
 ASA V 1 2 6 8 4 1 22 (2)
 Missing 1 1 2 (0)
Care level before admission
 Home without carer 55 198 270 173 65 14 1 776 (83)
 Home with carer 4 13 20 51 27 3 118 (13)
 Residential home 3 1 4 3 6 17 (2)
 Nursing home 1 1 3 7 1 13 (1)
 Intermediate care 2 2 (0)
 Other 3 1 4 2 1 11 (1)

The most common indication for surgery was intestinal obstruction (54%). The commonest surgical procedure performed was adhesiolysis (25%) with the majority of surgery performed by an open approach (87%) (Table 2). These findings are in keeping with the NELA 4th report.1 Fifty percent of patients had a postoperative complication, with the median length of hospital stay being 13 days (IQR 7–24). 13.7% (123/899) of patients required readmission to hospital within 30 days of discharge.

TABLE 2 - Indication and Type of Surgical Procedure Performed on Older Adults Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy
90-d Mortality
Yes No Missing N (%)
183 (20) 747 (80) 7 (1) 937 (100)
Indication for surgery
 Intestinal obstruction 83 419 1 503 (54)
 Perforation 47 107 2 156 (17)
 Peritonitis 16 58 1 75 (8)
 Ischemia 11 46 1 58 (6)
 Other 7 38 1 46 (5)
 Hemorrhage 7 16 23 (2)
 Abdominal abscess 4 14 18 (2)
 Anastomotic leak 2 13 15 (2)
 Sepsis (other) 1 11 1 13 (1)
 Intestinal fistula 1 8 9 (1)
 Colitis 1 7 8 (1)
 Abdominal wound dehiscence 1 3 4 (0)
 Planned relook 1 1 (0)
 Missing 2 6 8 (0)
Procedure performed
 Adhesiolysis 31 207 1 239 (25)
 Small bowel resection 37 161 2 200 (21)
 Stoma formation 39 119 158 (17)
 Colectomy (right) 29 116 1 146 (16)
 Hartmann's procedure 23 117 1 141 (15)
 Colorectal resection (other) 13 48 2 63 (7)
 Abdominal wall closure 11 46 57 (6)
 Enterotomy 8 39 47 (5)
 Peptic ulcer (suture or repair) 15 27 42 (4)
 Drainage of abscess/collection 6 30 1 37 (4)
 Colectomy (left) 8 25 1 34 (4)
 Washout only 5 17 22 (2)
 Gastric surgery 6 12 18 (2)
 Repair of intestinal perforation 7 11 18 (2)
 Laparostomy formation 7 8 15 (2)
 Stoma revision 5 9 14 (1)
 Intestinal bypass 2 11 13 (1)
 Hemostasis 1 10 11 (1)
 Reduction of volvulus 10 10 (1)
 Peptic ulcer (oversew of bleed) 3 4 7 (1)
Surgical approach
 Open 163 645 7 815 (87)
 Lap converted to open 11 47 58 (6)
 Laparoscopic 7 49 56 (6)
 Laparoscopic assisted 6 6 (1)
 Missing 2 2 (0)
Total number of procedures exceeds 937 as some patients had more than one procedure performed at the same laparotomy.

Frailty and 90-day Postoperative Mortality

Overall, 90-day mortality for all patients was 19.5% (183/930). As the frailty score increased, the risk of 90-day mortality increased: patients scoring CFS 6 and 7 had the highest risk of 90-day mortality (OR 5·89, 95% CI, 2.19–15.86; P = 0·001) compared with patients scoring CFS 1 (Table 3 and Fig. 2). After accounting for patient age and sex, increasing frailty was still associated with increased risk of 90-day mortality: aOR for patients who were mildly frail (CFS 5) and moderately/severely frail (CFS 6/7) was 3.18 (95% CI, 1.24– 8.14; P = 0.016) and 6.10 (95% CI, 2.26–16.45; P < 0.001), respectively, compared with CFS 1 (very fit).

TABLE 3 - Frailty and Primary and Secondary Outcomes in Older Adults Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy
Primary Outcome
90-d Mortality Crude OR (95% CI) P aOR (95% CI) P
CFS compared with patients very fit
 (Very fit) Reference Reference
 Well 0.82 (0.31–2.17) 0.69 0.84 (0.32–2.22) 0.72
 Well with treated disease 1.36 (0.54–3.40) 0.51 1.38 (0.55–3.46) 0.49
 Vulnerable 3.12 (1.25–7.75) 0.014 3.15 (1.27–7.84) 0.014
 Mildly frail 3.12 (1.24–7.99) 0.017 3.18 (1.24–8.14) 0.016
 Moderately and severely frail 5.89 (2.19–15.86) 0.001 6.10 (2.26–16.45) <0.001
Secondary outcomes
30-d Mortality
CFS compared with patients very fit
 Well 1.99 (0.43–9.07) 0.38 2.05 (0.45–9.37) 0.36
 Well with treated disease 3.08 (0.71–13.40) 0.13 3.11 (0.71–13.57) 0.13
 Vulnerable 7.41 (1.72–31.99) 0.007 7.49 (1.73–32.40) 0.007
 Mildly frail 9.67 (2.22–42.23) 0.003 9.79 (2.23–42.91) 0.002
 Moderately and severely frail 10.04 (2.17–46.34) 0.003 10.40 (2.24–48.18) 0.003
Postoperative complications
CFS compared with patients very fit
 Well 1.82 (0.91–3.63) 0.09 1.85 (0.92–3.71) 0.08
 Well with treated disease 2.14 (1.09–4.21) 0.03 2.20 (1.11–4.34) 0.02
 Vulnerable 3.95 (1.95–8.01) <0.001 4.06 (1.99–8.22) <0.001
 Mildly frail 4.42 (2.11–9.24) <0.001 4.56 (2.17–9.60) 0.001
 Moderately and severely frail 3.78 (1.64–8.73) 0.002 3.92 (1.69–9.10) 0.001
HDU length of stay
CFS compared with patients very fit
 Well 1.29 (0.69–2.42) 0.42 1.34 (0.71–2.51) 0.36
 Well with treated disease 1.22 (0.66–2.24) 0.52 1.26 (0.68–2.32) 0.46
 Vulnerable 0.94 (0.50–1.78) 0.85 0.97 (0.51–1.83) 0.92
 Mildly frail 1.07 (0.54–2.09) 0.85 1.11 (0.56–2.19) 0.76
 Moderately and severely frail 0.80 (0.36–1.79) 0.60 0.86 (0.38–1.93) 0.71
ICU length of stay
CFS compared with patients very fit
 Well 1.45 (0.82–2.59) 0.21 1.50 (0.84–2.66) 0.17
 Well with treated disease 1.79 (1.02–3.13) 0.04 1.89 (1.08–3.29) 0.03
 Vulnerable 2.21 (1.24–3.95) 0.008 2.31 (1.30–4.11) 0.005
 Mildly frail 2.11 (1.14–3.89) 0.02 2.15 (1.15–3.96) 0.02
 Moderately and severely frail 4.00 (2.00–7.98) <0.001 4.18 (2.11–8.03) <0.001
Postoperative length of stay
CFS compared with patients very fit
 Well 1.22 (0.95–1.58) 0.12 1.21 (0.94–1.56) 0.14
 Well with treated disease 1.28 (1.00–1.63) 0.05 1.26 (0.99–1.63) 0.06
 Vulnerable 1.49 (1.16–1.92) 0.002 1.48 (1.15–1.91) 0.002
 Mildly frail 1.46 (1.11–1.91) 0.006 1.44 (1.10–1.89) 0.008
 Moderately and severely frail 1.64 (1.21–2.23) 0.002 1.62 (1.19–2.20) 0.002
30-d readmission
CFS compared with patients very fit
 Well 0.76 (0.28–2.05) 0.58 0.76 (0.28–2.07) 0.59
 Well with treated disease 1.11 (0.43–2.82) 0.83 1.25 (0.48–3.24) 0.64
 Vulnerable 1.72 (0.70–4.42) 0.26 1.93 (0.74–5.04) 0.18
 Mildly frail 1.01 (0.35–2.89) 0.98 1.16 (0.40–3.37) 0.78
 Moderately and severely frail 1.08 (0.32–3.62) 0.91 1.22 (0.35–4.19) 0.75
The odds ratio of the chance of 90- and 30-day mortality, readmission, operative complications, and length of stay, comparing increasing frailty versus an older adult patient defined as very fit prior to emergency laparotomy.
Adjusted by age (65–74 vs 75+) and sex (male, female).
185 cases removed, as were still in postoperative care at 30 days following surgery.
Analyzed using a zero-inflated negative binomial regression, modeling the increased rate of length of stay in mean days, compared with those very fit.CFS indicates Clinical Frailty Score.

F2
FIGURE 2:
Scatterplot displaying the relationship between frailty and 90-day mortality in older adults undergoing emergency laparotomy.

Frailty and Secondary Outcomes

Overall, 30-day mortality for all patients was 14.6% (137/937) and a similar association with frailty was seen for 30-day mortality as for 90-day mortality: CFS 5 aOR 9.79 (95% CI, 2.23–42.91; P = 0.002) and for CFS 6/7 aOR 10.40 (95% CI, 2.24–48.18; P = 0.003) (Table 3). Increasing frailty score was associated with increased risk of postoperative complications: aOR for CFS 5 was 4.56 (95% CI, 2.17–9.60; P = 0.001) and 3.92 (95% CI, 0.35–4.19; P = 0·001) for CFS 6/7 compared with those older adults scoring CFS 1.

There was increased length of postoperative hospital stay and stay in ICU in frail patients (Table 3). For hospital stay: aOR for CFS 5 was 1.44 (95% CI, 1.10–1.89; P = 0·008) and 1.62 (1.19–2.20; P = 0.002) for CFS 6/7compared with adults scoring CFS 1. For ICU length of stay: CFS 5 aOR of 2.15 (95% CI, 1.15–3.96; P = 0·02) and CFS 6/7 aOR 4.18 (95% CI, 2.11–8.03; P < 0.001) compared with CFS 1. Frail patients stayed in ICU for 2 days (IQR 1–4) versus 1 day (IQR 0–3) for nonfrail. There was no association with frailty to the length of time in HDU or to 30-day readmission.

Frailty, by Age Mortality Distribution

Tables 4 and 5 show that frailty is distributed throughout the range of ages and not restricted to the very old age patient groups (85+). Observation of this distribution shows that patients with a higher frailty score had a higher mortality rate. The marginal 90-day mortality rates were increased from 11.1% to 50% for CFS of 1 to 7 and the marginal mortality rate for increased patient age was 15.9% to 25.3% for patients aged 65 to 70, compared with those aged 85 to 90 (Table 4). Similar results were found for the 30-day mortality showing that frailty results in a wider distribution of predicted mortality than age (Table 5). In addition, when compared with P-POSSUM, it can be seen that frailty stratifies the older adult into a greater number of prognostic groups and also allows risk-prediction of 30-day morbidity through the range of scoring, whereas P-POSSUM does not (Table 6).

TABLE 4 - The Distribution of 90-day Mortality Within Frailty by Age in Older Adults Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy
Clinical Frailty Score (CFS)
Very Fit Well Well, With Treated Comorbid Disease Apparently Vulnerable Mildly Frail Moderately Frail Severely Frail Total
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Age group
 65–70 9.5 (2/21) 8.0 (4/50) 17.0 (8/47) 22.2 (8/36) 7.7 (1/13) 50.0 (4/8) 100 (1/1) 15.9 (28/176)
 70–75 25.0 (3/12) 7.8 (5/64) 17.6 (12/68) 25.0 (13/52) 34.4 (11/32) 35.7 (5/14) 33.3 (1/3) 20.4 (50/245)
 75–80 7.7 (1/13) 8.9 (4/45) 12.2 (9/74) 27.3 (12/44) 31.0 (9/29) 50.0 (5/10) 100 (1/1) 19.0 (41/216)
 80–85 0 (0/6) 8.7 (2/23) 13.6 (8/59) 28.9 (11/38) 22.6 (7/31) 50.0 (6/12) 20.1 (34/169)
 85–90 15.0 (3/20) 11.1 (3/27) 40.9 (9/22) 37.5 (6/16) 30.0 (3/10) 25.3 (24/95)
 90+ 0 (0/2) 25.0 (1/4) 12.5 (1/8) 33.3 (2/6) 25.0 (1/4) 25.0 (1/4) 0 (0/1) 20.7 (6/29)
 Subtotal 11.1 (6/54) 9.2 (19/206) 14.5 (41/283) 27.8 (55/198) 27.8 (35/125) 41.4 (24/58) 50.0 (3/6) 19.5 (183/930)
Note that 7 patients’ 90-day mortality was not recorded.
The mortality percentage is presented followed by (deaths/total included participants).

TABLE 5 - The Distribution of 30-day Mortality Within Frailty by Age in Older Adults Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy
Clinical Frailty Score (CFS)
Very Fit Well Well, With Treated Comorbid Disease Apparently Vulnerable Mildly Frail Moderately Frail Severely Frail Total
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Age Group
 65–70 4.7 (1/21) 8.0 (4/50) 12.5 (6/48) 16.2 (6/37) 100 (1/1) 37.5 (3/8) 100 (1/1) 12.4 (22/178)
 70–75 7.7 (1/13) 7.8 (5/64) 8.6 (6/70) 17.3 (9/52) 31.3 (10/32) 21.4 (3/14) 0 (0/3) 13.7 (34/248)
 75–80 0 (0/13) 4.4 (2/45) 9.5 (7/74) 25.0 (11/44) 24.1 (7/29) 30.0 (3/10) 0 (0/1) 13.9 (30/216)
 80–85 0 (0/6) 4.3 (1/23) 13.3 (8/60) 18.4 (7/38) 28.1 (9/32) 41.7 (5/12) 17.5 (30/171)
 85–90 10.0 (2/20) 7.4 (2/27) 31.8 (7/22) 31.3 (5/16) 20.0 (2/10) 18.9 (18/95)
 90+ 0 (0/2) 0 (0/4) 0 (0/8) 33.3 (2/6) 25.0 (1/4) 0 (0/4) 0 (0/1) 10.3 (3/29)
 Subtotal 3.6 (2/55) 6.7 (14/206) 10.1 (29/287) 21.1 (42/199) 26.2 (33/126) 27.6 (16/58) 16.7 (1/6) 14.6 (137/937)
The mortality percentage is presented followed by (deaths/total included participants).

TABLE 6 - Comparison of Frailty Status to P-Possum by Actual 30-day Mortality and Morbidity
Actual 30-d Mortality Actual 30-d Morbidity
Total % Total %
Clinical Frailty Score (CFS)
 1 Very fit 3.6 31.5
 2 Well 6.8 40.6
 3 Well, with treated comorbid disease 10.1 49.1
 4 Apparently vulnerable 21.1 57.6
 5 Mildly frail 26.2 61.3
 6 Moderately frail 27.6 63.2
 7 Severely frail 16.7 16.7
P-Possum
 Predicted % <5% 5.6 38.8
5%–10% 12.6 50.0
10%–20% 12.9 53.9
20%–50% 23.1 58.9
≥50% 38.1 69.8
Six cases were missing P-POSSUM scores.
CFS 6 and 7 are presented separately in this table—previous analyses have combined these 2 groups.

DISCUSSION

This study is the first to prospectively document the prevalence of frailty in older adults undergoing emergency laparotomy. Frailty was present in a fifth of patients preoperatively placing them at significantly greater risk of 30- and 90-day mortality. In addition, as the frailty score increased, so did the risk of postoperative complications, and the length of stay in intensive care and in hospital overall. With frailty found to be independent of age, this work supports integration of frailty scoring to all older adults admitted as a surgical emergency to guide perioperative strategies for this high-risk complex population.

There are several strengths to this work. First, it focused solely on a large population of older patients undergoing emergency laparotomy improving understanding of this overlooked group that carry the highest risk for postoperative death. Second, the data were collected prospectively and was multicentered minimizing geographical bias that could occur with local or regional studies. Third, validation of a proportion of each site's data optimized data completion. Finally, the CFS seems to be a simple tool to use with only a small percentage of frailty scores not entered despite the substantial overrecruitment.

The authors cannot exclude selection bias where a local recruiter may have not contributed a consecutive series of older patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. This is likely to reflect the pragmatic nature of this work. In addition, only a small proportion of patients undergoing surgery had the highest frailty score (CFS 7), perhaps as a consequence of being unfit for surgery. To overcome this, CFS 6 was combined with CFS 7 for statistical analysis where appropriate.

Previous work in the emergency surgical setting has found frailty to be associated with a greater risk of mortality and longer hospital stays.28,29,30,31 However, direct comparisons to this current work are difficult due to their limitations of retrospective analysis; single-center only; inclusion of nonoperatively managed older adult patients and/ or small patient numbers. In a recently published prospective multicentered UK study (n = 2279) assessing all patients admitted to an acute surgical unit, frailty was found to exist in all age groups and was not exclusive to the older adult population.32 This study included patients regardless of whether an operation was performed (62% had nonoperative management); however, the finding of frailty to be independent of age with an almost linear relationship to 90-day mortality is consistent with our study. Furthermore, with our results also showing incremental increases in frailty scores predict greater risks of postoperative complications and longer hospital stays, we believe that the CFS should be interpreted as an individual score rather than the traditional binary classification of frail or not frail.

Clinicians have long been interested in prognostic scores resulting in many being available. All have their limitations in the older adult emergency laparotomy setting, including predicting mortality only (APACHE II, ASA); multiple variables making calculation labor intensive (APACHE II); not validated in older adult populations (Charlson, ASA); being based on diagnosed comorbidity with no attempt to differentiate well-controlled morbidity from severe functionally limiting morbidity (Charlson); or requiring intraoperative details to complete score (P-POSSUM).7–12 Indeed, NELA and the Royal College of Surgeons of England have acknowledged and circumvented such limitations by using P-POSSUM or an equivalent to define a high-risk patient to trigger specific process pathways rather than to determine prognosis.1,15 The Clinical Frailty Score in comparison predicts both morbidity and mortality, is straightforward to calculate, is validated in older adult surgical populations, and can be determined preoperatively.

Implications for Clinicians and Policymakers

Frailty scoring should be performed preoperatively on all older adults undergoing an emergency laparotomy to aid with the complex decision-making and perioperative care. Few of the already established prognostic scores are easy for the patient and their family to understand, which is potentially detrimental to shared decision-making.33,34 In contrast, frailty is a concept of which many members of the public may be aware. This underlying knowledge may provide a platform for improved understanding with patients and their family members when discussing not only their operative risks of dying, but of having significant life-altering complications and a prolonged and difficult recovery.

Once the decision for surgery is made, the frailty score could lead targeted perioperative pathways. For example, patients with CFS 4 to 7 have the highest risk of mortality where early involvement and assessment by critical care would optimize postoperative planning. Treatment over the first few days postoperatively is focused on continuing treatment for the initial pathology (eg, sepsis, renal support, ventilator support, wound management) led by critical care and surgeons. This could be improved by working alongside geriatricians and the CGA with the key aim of minimizing any complications from frailty,1,6,15,35 for example, protecting muscle mass (early mobility or movement whether on or off a ventilator); maintaining respiratory capacity (timed regular physiotherapy); nutrition and energy balance (parental or enteral). In contrast, a patient CFS 3 might only spend a short time in critical care before continuing their targeted rehabilitation prescribed by a hospitalist or geriatrician, but led by the surgical ward nurses. This modified emergency laparotomy CGA creates an opportunity for targeted training within both surgical and geriatric curriculums to allow multidisciplinary perioperative care.6,36

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is present in 20% of older adults undergoing emergency laparotomy and is independent of age. As frailty increases, the older adult is at greater risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity. These findings support the integration of preoperative frailty assessment and identify the urgent need to develop novel postoperative strategies to improve outcomes for this complex high-risk group of health service users.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors gratefully acknowledge support from the North West Surgical Trials Centre (www.nwstc.org.uk). In particular, to the authors thank Laura Marsh and Chris Braithwaite for their help.

THE ELF STUDY GROUP:

Addenbrooke's Hospital: Bryony Ross, Julia Oleksiewicz, Nicola Fearnhead.

Blackpool Victoria Hospital: Christopher Jump, Jemma Boyle, Alex Shaw, Jonathan Barker.

Bristol Royal Infirmary: Jane Hughes, Jonathan Randall, Isileli Tonga, James Kynaston, Matthew Boal.

Countess of Chester Hospital: Nicola Eardley, Elizabeth Kane, Harriet Reader, Sunanda Roy Mahapatra, Michael Garner-Jones.

Croydon University Hospital: Jessica Juliana Tan, Said Mohamed.

Doncaster Royal Infirmary: Rina George, Ed Whiteman.

East Cheshire NHS Trust: Kamran Malik, Christopher J. Smart, Monica Bogdan.

East Lancashire Hospitals (Blackburn): Madhu Parna Chaudhury, Videha Sharma, Daren Subar.

Furness General Hospital (Barrow): Panna Patel, Sok-Moi Chok, Evelyn Lim.

Glan Clywd Hospital: Vedamurthy Adhiyaman, Glesni Davies.

Glasgow Royal Infirmary: Ellen Ross, Rudra Maitra, Colin W. Steele, Campbell Roxburgh.

Gloucestershire Royal Hospital: Shelly Griffiths, Natalie S. Blencowe, Emily N. Kirkham.

Lorn and Islands Hospital (Oban): John S. Abraham, Kirsty Griffiths.

Maidstone and Tunbridge Wells NHS Trust: Yasser Abdulaal, Muhammad Rafaih Iqbal, Munir Tarazi.

Manchester Royal Infirmary: James Hill, Azam Khan, Ian Farrell.

Mid Essex/Broomfield: Gemma Conn, Jugal Patel, Hyder Reddy.

Mid Yorkshire NHS Hospitals: Janahan Sarveswaran, Lakshmanan Arunachalam, Afaq Malik.

Milton Keynes University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust: Luca Ponchietti, Krystian Pawelec, Yan Mei Goh, Parveen Vitish-Sharma, Ahmed Saad.

Musgrove Park (Taunton): Edward Smyth, Amy Crees, Louise Merker, Nahida Bashir.

Newport: Gethin Williams, Jennifer Hayes, Kelly Walters, Rhiannon Harries, Rahulpreet Singh.

Ninewells Hospital (Dundee): Nikola A. Henderson, Francesco M. Polignano.

Queen Alexandra Hospital (Portsmouth): Ben Knight, Louise Alder, Alexandra Kenchington.

Queen Elizabeth Hospital (Birmingham): Yan Li Goh, Ilaria Dicurzio, Ewen Griffiths.

Queen Elizabeth University Hospital (Glasgow): Ahmed Alani, Katrina Knight, Patrick MacGoey, Guat Shi Ng.

Royal Albert Edward Infirmary (Wigan): Naomi Mackenzie, Ishaan Maitra.

Royal Alexandra Hospital (Paisley): Susan Moug, Kelly Ong.

Royal Berkshire Hospital (Reading): Daniel McGrath, Emanuele Gammeri, Guillame Lafaurie.

Royal Bolton Hospital: Gemma Faulkner, Gabriele Di Benedetto, Julia McGovern, Bharathi Subramanian.

Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital NHS: Sunil Kumar Narang, Jennifer Nowers, Neil J. Smart, Ian R. Daniels.

Royal Free Hospital (Hampstead site): Massimo Varcada, Tanzeela Gala.

Royal Glamorgan Hospital: Julie Cornish, Zoe Barber.

Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh: Stephen O’Neill, Richard McGregor, Andrew G. Robertson, Simon Paterson-Brown.

Royal Lancaster Infirmary: Thomas Raymond.

Royal London Hospital: Mohamed A. Thaha, William J. English, Cillian T. Forde, Heidi Paine, Alpa Morawala.

Royal Preston Hospital: Ravindra Date, Patrick Casey, Thomas Bolton, Xuan Gleaves, Joshua Fasuyi.

Royal Surrey County Hospital, Guildford: Sanja Durakovic, Matt Dunstan, Sophie Allen, Angela Riga.

Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust: Jonathan Epstein, Lyndsay Pearce, Emily Gaines, Anthony Howe, Halima Choonara.

Southmead (North Bristol): Ffion Dewi, Joanne Bennett, Emile King, Kathryn McCarthy.

Swansea: Greg Taylor, Dean Harris, Hari Nageswaran, Amy Stimpson.

Tameside Hospital: Kamran Siddiqui, Lay In Lim.

University Hospital Crosshouse, Kilmarnock: Christopher Ray, Laura Smith, Gillian McColl.

University Hospital of South Manchester: Mohammed Rahman, Aaron Kler, Abhi Sharma, Kat Parmar.

University Hospital of Wales (Cardiff): Neil Patel, Perry Crofts, Claudio Baldari, Rhys Thomas, Michael Stechman.

Western General Hospital (Edinburgh): Roland Aldridge, James O’Kelly, Graeme Wilson.

Weston General Hospital: Nicholas Gallegos.

Whiston: Ramya Kalaiselvan, Rajasundaram Rajaganeshan.

William Harvey Hospital (East Kent): Aliya Mackenzie, Prashant Naik, Kaushiki Singh, Harinath Gandraspulli.

Wirral University Teaching Hospital: Jeremy Wilson, Kate Hancorn, Amir Khawaja, Felix Nicholas, Thomas Marks.

Wrexham: Cameron Abbott, Susan Chandler.

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Keywords:

emergency laparotomy; frailty; morbidity; mortality; older adult

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