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Optimal Criteria for G3 (Poorly Differentiated) Stage II Colon Cancer

Prospective Validation in a Randomized Controlled Study (SACURA Trial)

Ueno, Hideki MD, PhD*; Ishiguro, Megumi MD; Nakatani, Eiji PhD‡,§; Ishikawa, Toshiaki MD; Uetake, Hiroyuki MD; Matsui, Shigeyuki PhD; Teramukai, Satoshi PhD#; Murotani, Kenta PhD**; Ajioka, Yoichi MD††; Shimazaki, Hideyuki MD‡‡; Maeda, Atsuyuki MD§§; Takuma, Kunio MD∥∥; Yoshida, Takefumi MD¶¶; Kambara, Takeshi MD##; Matsuda, Keiji MD***; Takagane, Akinori MD†††; Tomita, Naohiro MD‡‡‡; Sugihara, Kenichi MD§§§; On Behalf of the SACURA Study Group

Author Information
The American Journal of Surgical Pathology: December 2020 - Volume 44 - Issue 12 - p 1685-1698
doi: 10.1097/PAS.0000000000001570


Tumor grade is the numerical description of a malignant tumor based on how the tumor cells are microscopically different from normal cells from which the tumor originated and is regarded as an indicator of potential tumor growth and spread. Generally, a higher grade cancer may have a higher malignant potential and be associated with worse clinical outcomes. Starting in the 1920s, the degree of tumor differentiation was primarily assessed on the basis of architecture, specifically gland or tubule formation, in colorectal cancer (CRC),1,2 and this method has long been used as the most essential characteristic of the tumor to be recorded in pathology reports. In the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) classification, grade (G) 3 is applied to poorly differentiated tumors.3

Internationally, an appropriate pathologic diagnosis of G3 is especially important for stage II CRC because G3 is regarded as an essential risk factor for recurrence according to the guidelines of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN)4 and the European Society for Medical Oncology5 and is used to identify a subgroup of patients with stage II CRC that could benefit from postoperative adjuvant therapy. However, a single widely accepted and uniform standard for grading is lacking for CRCs, most of which have intratumoural heterogeneity in their differentiation patterns.6,7 The issues to be resolved with this system include the uncertainty of how we define the least differentiated area, which could convey important prognostic information and should be reflected in the tumor grade. More specifically, the extent of an intratumoral poorly differentiated lesion that should be diagnosed as G3 is currently unclear.

In 2008, we reported the results of a retrospective exploratory study using 1075 patients with stage I to III CRC to clarify how a large intratumoral poorly differentiated area impacts the postoperative survival of these patients.8 As a result, we found that an intratumoural poorly differentiated histologic area that fills a ×40 objective lens field (a field of 0.196 mm2) was an essential index for the diagnosis of G3 in terms of the postoperative prognosis of CRC. The ×40 microscopic objective lens field may also represent the specific extent of how an intratumoral poorly differentiated phenotype of the tumor can determine oncologic outcomes, such as lymph node metastasis and recurrence of T1 CRC.9 This was reasonably validated in a recent multicenter study of 2057 patients with T1 CRC that was conducted by the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum (JSCCR).10 We had expected these findings to help clarify the long-pending issue of uncertainty of tumor grade criteria.

The SACURA (Surgical Adjuvant Chemotherapy with UFT for Curatively Resected Stage II Colon Cancer) trial is a multicenter, randomized controlled study that evaluated the superiority of 1 year of adjuvant treatment with oral tegafur-uracil (UFT) compared with surgery alone for stage II colon cancer ( NCT00392899).11 The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate was 78.4% in the surgery-alone group and 80.2% in the UFT group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.91; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.75-1.10; P=0.31), and, although the superiority of adjuvant treatment with UFT over surgery alone was not shown, the recurrence rate was lower in the UFT group than in the surgery-alone group (10.4% vs. 13.4%).12

As one of the predetermined translational studies in the SACURA trial, the grading system based on the extent of intratumoural poorly differentiated histology, which was reported in 2008,8 was prospectively evaluated to validate its value for the grading of stage II colon cancer.11 Hence, the primary aims of the present study were to determine the accuracy of the prognostic stratification power of the grading system and to verify its superiority to the conventional tumor grading system for stage II colon cancer. Because it has long been acknowledged that a part of poorly differentiated colonic tumors constitutes an entity of microsatellite instability (MSI) in tumors, which markedly differs from those without MSI in their prognosis,13,14 we analyzed a microsatellite stable (MSS)/MSI-low subset in addition to a full analysis set (FAS).



The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Boards of each participating institution and was conducted in accordance with the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki and comparable Japanese ethical standards. Furthermore, written informed consent was obtained from all study participants.

Overall, 2024 patients with stage II colon cancer and no preoperative treatment from 270 hospitals in Japan were enrolled in the SACURA trial between October 2006 and July 2010 and were randomly assigned to the surgery-alone group or the UFT group.11 After the exclusion of 42 ineligible patients, data from 1982 patients were analyzed for DFS as the primary endpoint, and overall survival, relapse-free survival (RFS), and the incidence and severity of adverse events, as secondary endpoints, and were compared (Fig. 1). Consequently, 5 years after the last patient was enrolled, a primary analysis concluded that UFT was statistically nonsuperior in regard to any of the endpoints.12

CONSORT diagram. Number of patients in the translational study for new histopathologic factors are indicated in blue.

It was predetermined in the study protocol that pathologic specimens for the translational study of new histopathologic prognostic factors would be collected from 1000 patients out of those enrolled in the SACURA trial. Consequently, 123 hospitals participated in the translational study for new histopathologic factors, and pathologic specimens were collected from 1003 eligible patients in these hospitals. After 12 patients were excluded because of noncompliance with the allocated protocol, 991 patients with curatively resected stage II colon cancer from 123 institutions (surgery-alone group, 501 patients; UFT group, 490 patients) were enrolled as the FAS in this study. Of these, 807 patients had colon cancer (cecum, 73; ascending colon, 209; transverse colon, 123; descending colon, 60; and sigmoid colon, 342) and 184 had rectosigmoid cancer. As regards the extent of lymph node dissection per the Japanese Classification of Colorectal Carcinoma (second English edition) edited by the JSCCR,15 most patients underwent D3 (complete dissection of all regional lymph nodes) or D2 (complete dissection of pericolic/perirectal and intermediate lymph nodes) procedures (800 and 188 patients, respectively) with only 3 patients classified as D1 (complete dissection of pericolic/perirectal lymph nodes). The median follow-up period was 69.7 (range: 2.1 to 105.6) months, and the 5-year RFS rate for all patients was 84.2% (85.3% in the UFT group and 83.2% in the surgery-alone group).

Pathologic Examination

Postoperatively, glass slides containing tissue stained with hematoxylin and eosin were prepared according to routine pathology practice at each participating institution and were collected in the study office at Tokyo Medical and Dental University and then submitted to National Defense Medical College, the institution responsible for the central review of new histopathologic factors; those who performed the assessments were blinded to both patient and tumor information. The glass slides were prepared from a whole tumor section that included the deepest part of the tumor and were prospectively examined by one of the authors (H.U.) to evaluate the extent of poorly differentiated components (PORs) and tumor budding according to the criteria detailed below. Evaluated data on new histopathologic factors were sent to the study office at Tokyo Medical and Dental University, where these data were prospectively registered in an internet-based electronic data capture system managed by the Translational Research Center for Medical Innovation.

The conventional pathologic factors, including conventional tumor grade (Gradeconv), T-stage, lymphatic invasion, venous invasion, and the number of lymph nodes examined, were evaluated by pathologists at each participating institution and were prospectively registered in the electronic data capture system together with the clinical data.

Conventional Tumor Grade Based on the Predominant Histologic Type

According to the definition of the Japanese Classification of Colorectal Carcinoma,15 tumors were diagnosed as papillary adenocarcinoma, well-differentiated tubular adenocarcinoma, moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or signet-ring cell carcinoma (Fig. 2A). Tumors that contain >1 histologic type of carcinoma are classified on the basis of the predominant histologic type by definition.15 G1conv was assigned for papillary adenocarcinoma (N=19) and well-differentiated tubular adenocarcinoma (N=401), G2conv was reserved for moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma (N=526), and G3conv was reserved for poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma (N=14) and mucinous adenocarcinoma (N=31). No patient in this study population was diagnosed with signet-ring cell carcinoma.

Schema for evaluation of Gradeconv and GradePOR.8 A, Adenocarcinomas in the colon are classified as papillary adenocarcinoma (pap), well-differentiated tubular adenocarcinoma (tub1), moderately differentiated tubular adenocarcinoma (tub2), poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma (muc), or signet-ring cell carcinoma (sig) according to the definitions in the Japanese Classification of Colorectal Carcinoma.15 For tumors that contain >1 histologic type of carcinoma, the diagnosis is based on the predominant finding.15 Colon cancers have conventionally been categorized into 3 groups: G1conv (pap and tub1), G2conv (tub2), and G3conv (por, muc, and sig). B, The POR was defined as an area composed of adenocarcinoma with no gland formation irrespective of the growth pattern or mucin production. To determine GradePOR, the largest POR in the tumor was selected first with a low-power microscopic field, and whether this field filled the microscopic field of a ×40 objective lens (a field of 0.196 mm2) was evaluated. Tumors that satisfied this condition were classified as G3POR. When the largest POR did not fill the field of a ×40 objective lens, the tumors were classified as G1POR (<10) or G2POR (10 or more) according to the number of poorly differentiated cancer clusters (without a glandular structure composed of 5 or more cancer cells) in the microscopic field of a ×4 objective lens (a field of 196.250 mm2) at its hotspot.

Tumor Grade According to the Extent of Poorly Differentiated Component

Tumor grade according to the extent of poorly differentiated component (GradePOR) was evaluated as previously reported.8 POR was simply defined as an area composed of adenocarcinoma with no gland formation irrespective of the growth pattern or mucin production. Consequently, POR included mucinous carcinoma comprising tumor nests with no gland formation, and signet-ring cell carcinoma as well.

The largest POR of the tumor was first determined at low magnification (Fig. 2B). It was then determined whether this area had filled the microscopic field of a ×40 objective lens (a field of 0.196 mm2). Tumors that satisfied this condition were regarded as G3POR (Fig. 3). In order to classify patients for whom the largest POR did not fill the field of a ×40 objective lens, we focused on cancer clusters without glandular structure that were composed of 5 or more cancer cells (poorly differentiated clusters). After a field with poorly differentiated clusters with the highest frequency was identified, the clusters in the microscopic field of a ×4 objective lens (a field of 196.250 mm2) were counted. Tumors with <10 clusters were regarded as G1POR, whereas those with ≥10 clusters were regarded as G2POR.

Definition of G3 based on the least differentiation policy with the ×40 objective lens rule.8 A, The area of the POR observed at the tumor front is extensive enough to fully fill the microscopic field of a ×40 objective lens; thereby, this tumor is classified as G3POR. B, Non-G3POR. Note that the POR (area circled with black dotted line) does not fill the field of a ×40 objective lens. A and B, Hematoxylin and eosin staining. White circles indicate the microscopic field of a ×40 objective lens (a field of 0.196 mm2).

Tumor Budding

Tumor budding was defined as an isolated cancer cell or cluster of <5 cells at the invasive front and was graded according to the number of cells or clusters in the microscopic field of a ×20 objective lens (0.785 mm2) in the hotspot.16 Tumors with <5, 5 to 9, and ≥10 budding foci were classified as grades BD1, BD2, and BD3, respectively. These assessment criteria were subsequently adopted in the Japanese guidelines (2009)17 and as international criteria by the International Tumour Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC) in 2016.18

MSI Status

Macrodissected specimens prepared from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded blocks of the primary tumor that were collected from each participating institution were used to extract the genomic DNA of individual tumors. MSI status was evaluated using 5 markers (BAT25, BAT26, D2S123, D5S346, and D17S250) in accordance with the international guidelines adopted by the National Cancer Institute collaborative meeting.19 Analyses were performed using an ABI 3130 Genetic Analyser (Applied Biosystems, Carlsbad, CA) with GenoMapper Software, version 3.0 ( MSI status was defined according to the number of positive markers as follows: that is, MSI-high, 2 or more; MSI-low, 1; and MSS, 0.

Statistical Analyses

Prognostic analyses were performed 5 years after the completion of patient registration. The endpoint definition in the SACURA trial is reported elsewhere.11,12 DFS was defined as the time from randomization to recurrence, or the development of a secondary cancer or death, whichever occurred first. Secondary cancers included cancers that developed metachronously in the colorectum or other organs. In the SACURA trial, ∼9% of the patients had secondary cancers, which comprised 40.7% of the DFS events.12 RFS was defined as the time from randomization to first recurrence or death. In this validation analysis, we selected RFS as an endpoint because RFS could be a more suitable outcome by which the clinical value of the prognostic factors is appraised.

Given that a part of poorly differentiated adenocarcinomas of the colon is MSI-high, of which the prognosis is generally favorable,13,14 we provided the MSS/MSI-low subset for prognostic analyses to avoid underestimation of the prognostic value of the tumor grading systems. More specifically, after 69 patients with MSI-high tumors and 30 patients with tumors for which the MSI status could not be evaluated were excluded from the FAS, 892 patients with MSS/MSI-low tumors were assigned to the MSS/MSI-low subset (Fig. 1). In the MSS/MSI-low subset, the median follow-up period was 69.5 months, and the 5-year RFS rate for all patients was 83.5% (84.6% in the UFT group and 82.5% in the surgery-alone group).

To assess the correlation among the GradePOR, clinicopathologic characteristics, and postoperative oncologic events, the Kruskal-Wallis test was used for continuous variables, and the χ2 test was used for categorical variables. The RFS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The 95% CI at a specific time was estimated using Greenwood’s formula, and comparisons of the RFS among groups were performed using the log-rank test. Univariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards regression model were performed to calculate the HR and 95% CI values for the RFS of 14 prognostic factors, which included conventional factors (sex, age, tumor location, tumor size, number of lymph nodes examined, Gradeconv, T-stage, lymphatic and venous invasion, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level, treatment arm, and MSI status), tumor budding, and GradePOR.

We performed multivariate analyses for the following 3 combinations of prognostic factors: (1) standard prognostic model including 8 prespecified, elemental prognostic factors (number of lymph nodes examined, tumor size, T-stage, lymphatic invasion, venous invasion, MSI status, treatment arm, and tumor budding), (2) standard model factors and Gradeconv, and (3) standard model factors and GradePOR. The value of the addition of Gradeconv or GradePOR to the standard model was estimated using the Wald test. Additional multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards regression model were also performed as sensitivity analyses for other sets of prognostic factors.

We also evaluated G3POR as a predictive factor to determine the treatment effect of adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT (rather than as a prognostic factor) using a test of treatment-by-grade interaction. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS software, version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC).


GradePOR and Clinicopathologic Characteristics

On the basis of GradePOR, 313 (31.6%), 526 (53.1%), and 152 (15.3%) tumors were classified as G1POR, G2POR, and G3POR, respectively. The proportion of right-sided tumors, higher Gradeconv tumors, T4 tumors, those with positive lymphatic invasion, those with preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen values >5.0 ng/mL, and tumors with a higher tumor budding grade were increased with GradePOR (P<0.0001 to 0.03; Table 1). Although a significant positive correlation between Gradeconv and GradePOR was observed, the number of tumors classified as G3POR was >3 times higher than that classified as G3conv, and ∼30% of G3conv tumors were classified as other GradePOR tumors (non-G3POR tumors). The proportion of MSI-high in 961 cases with values of MSI status was 22.5% for G3POR tumors, 5.3% for G2POR, and 3.0% for G1POR tumors (P<0.0001). No significant correlation was observed between GradePOR and the conventional factors of tumor diameter, number of lymph nodes examined, and venous invasion.

TABLE 1 - GradePOR and Other Clinicopathologic Characteristics (FAS)
GradePOR, N (%)
Parameters Category G1POR G2POR G3POR P
Sex Male 200 (63.9) 308 (58.6) 93 (61.2) 0.3060
Female 113 (36.1) 218 (41.4) 59 (38.8)
Age (y) 66.0 65.5 64.4 0.4833*
Tumor location Right-sided colon 107 (34.2) 225 (42.8) 73 (48.0) 0.0195
Left-sided colon 145 (46.3) 199 (37.8) 58 (38.2)
Rectosigmoid 61 (19.5) 102 (19.4) 21 (13.8)
Maximum diameter (mm) 47.7 48.8 51.6 0.1075*
No. LNs examined <12 81 (25.9) 124 (23.6) 37 (24.3) 0.7538
≥12 232 (74.1) 402 (76.4) 115 (75.7)
Gradeconv G1conv 136 (43.5) 246 (46.8) 38 (25.0) <0.0001
G2conv 174 (55.6) 269 (51.1) 83 (54.6)
G3conv 3 (1.0) 11 (2.1) 31 (20.4)
T-stage T3 288 (92.0) 423 (80.4) 112 (73.7) <0.0001
T4 25 (8.0) 103 (19.6) 40 (26.3)
Lymphatic invasion Negative 158 (50.5) 213 (40·5) 45 (29.6) 0.0001
Positive 155 (49.5) 313 (59.5) 107 (70.4)
Venous invasion Negative 124 (39.6) 199 (37.8) 63 (41.4) 0.6931
Positive 189 (60.4) 327 (62·2) 89 (58·6)
Preoperative CEA (ng/mL) ≤5·0 233 (74.4) 338 (64.3) 99 (65.1) 0.0262
>5·0 66 (21.1) 165 (31.4) 45 (29.6)
Not available 14 (4.5) 23 (4.4) 8 (5.3)
Microsatellite status MSI-high 9 (2.9) 27 (5.1) 33 (21·7) <0.0001
MSS/MSI-low 295 (94.2) 483 (91.8) 114 (75.0)
Not available 9 (2.9) 16 (3.0) 5 (3·3)
Tumor budding BD1 273 (87.2) 82 (15.6) 21 (13.8) <0.0001
BD2 35 (11.2) 273 (51.9) 23 (15.1)
BD3 5 (1.6) 171 (32.5) 108 (71.1)
*Kruskal-Wallis test.
CEA indicates carcinoembryonic antigen; LN, lymph node.

Gradeconv and Relapse-free Survival

In the FAS, the RFS rate was better in patients with G3conv tumors, as compared with that in patients with non-G3conv tumors (Fig. 4A), although the difference was not statistically significant (HR, 0.40; 95% CI: 1.81-3.77). The MSS/MSI-low subset included only 20 patients with G3conv tumors, and their 5-year RFS rate (85.0%) was comparable to that of patients with G1conv tumors (85.2%) and those with G2conv tumors (82.7%; Fig. 4B).

Kaplan-Meier estimates of the RFS rate in patients with stage II colon cancer based on the conventional tumor grade, which was based Gradeconv. Log-rank test: A, P=0.1003. B, P=0.5089. *The HR for G3conv (reference, G1conv+G2conv), the corresponding 95% CI, and the P-value were calculated.

GradePOR and Relapse-free Survival

In the FAS, based on GradePOR, the 5-year RFS rate was 91.1% (95% CI, 87.2%-93.8%), 82.9% (79.4%-85.9%), and 74.7% (66.9%-80.9%) for G1POR, G2POR, and G3POR tumors, respectively (Fig. 5A). The significant impact of GradePOR on the RFS was similarly observed in the MSS/MSI-low subset (Fig. 5B), in which 295 (33.1%), 483 (54.1%), and 114 (12.8%) tumors were classified as G1POR, G2POR, and G3POR, respectively. The gap in the 5-year RFS rates between the G3POR group and the non-G3POR group tended to be greater in the MSS/MSI-low subset. The HR of the RFS of the G3POR vs. non-G3POR group was 1.93 (95% CI: 1.34-2.77) in the FAS, whereas it was 2.61 (95% CI: 1.81-3.77) in the MSS/MSI-low subset.

Kaplan-Meier estimates of the RFS rate in patients with stage II colon cancer based on the tumor grade, which was based on GradePOR. Log-rank test: A, P<0.0001. B, P<0.0001. *The HR for G3POR (reference, G1POR+G2POR), the corresponding 95% CI, and the P-value were calculated.

Adjustment for the Effect of Standard Prognostic Factors on RFS

In the FAS, among the 10 prespecified prognostic factors, T-stage, MSI status, tumor budding, and GradePOR were correlated with the RFS according to the univariate analysis, which was performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model (Table 2). Table 3 shows the results of the multivariate analysis of prognostic factors for RFS in the FAS. When G3conv and G3POR were alternatively added to the standard model consisting of 8 conventional prognostic factors, only G3POR was a statistically significant factor that could determine the RFS (HR, 1.54; 95% CI: 1.02-2.33, P=0.040). A similar observation was made in the MSS/MSI-low subset in which G3POR, rather than G3conv, significantly affected the RFS (HR, 1.63; 95% CI: 1.08-2.47, P=0.022; Table 4).

TABLE 2 - Univariate Analyses of Prespecified Variables for RFS Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model
FAS MSS/MSI-low Subset
Parameters Category N 5-Year RFS (%) HR (95% CI) P N 5-Year RFS (%) HR (95% CI) P
No. lymph nodes examined ≥12 749 84.8 1 672 84.0 1
<12 242 82.4 1.26 (0.90-1.78) 0.180 220 82.0 1.20 (0.84-1.72) 0.313
Size of tumor <50 mm 529 85.4 1 486 85.2 1
≥50 mm 462 82.9 1.24 (0·91-1.72) 0.171 406 81.6 1.34 (0.97-1.85) 0.072
T-stage T3 823 87.4 1 737 87.0 1
T4 168 68.4 2.76 (1.98-3.84) <0.001 155 67.0 2.83 (2.01-3.97) <0.001
Lymphatic invasion Negative 416 85.3 1 378 84.6 1
Positive 575 83.5 1.10 (0.80-1.51) 0.568 514 82.8 1.11 (0.80-1.54) 0.531
Venous invasion Negative 386 86.3 1 333 85.0 1
Positive 605 82.9 1.29 (0.93-1.80) 0.129 559 82.7 1.18 (0.84-1.66) 0.346
MSI status* MSS/MSI-low 892 83.5 1
MSI-high 69 94.0 0.33 (0.12-0.90) 0.030
Treatment arm Surgery-alone 501 83.2 1 449 82.5 1
UFT 490 85.3 0.85 (0.62-1.16) 0.309 443 84.6 0.86 (0.62-1.18) 0.344
Tumor budding BD1 376 90.9 1 340 90.6 1
BD2 331 85.1 1.58 (1.03-2.42) 0.035 300 84.6 1.61 (1.04-2.52) 0.034
BD3 284 74.4 2.93 (1.97-4.36) <0.001 252 72.8 3.12 (2.07-4.70) <0.001
Gradeconv G1conv 420 85.2 1 381 84.5 1
G2conv 526 82.7 1.25 (0.91-1.73) 0.173 491 82.7 1.22 (0.87-1.70) 0.250
G3conv 45 93.3 0.45 (0.14-1.44) 0.181 20 85.0 1.03 (0.32-3.28) 0.963
Non-G3conv 946 83.9 1 872 83.5 1
G3conv 45 93.3 0.40 (0.13-1.25) 0.117 20 85.0 0.92 (0.29-2.88) 0.882
GradePOR G1POR 313 91.1 1 295 91.2 1
G2POR 526 82.9 1.91 (1.27-2.89) 0.002 483 82.7 2.04 (1.32-3.14) 0.001
G3POR 152 74.7 3.00 (1.87-4.83) <0.001 114 67.4 4.25 (2.59-6.96) <0.001
Non-G3POR 839 86.0 1 778 85.9 1
G3POR 152 74.7 1.93 (1.34-2.77) <0.001 114 67.4 2.61 (1.81-3.77) <0.001
*961 cases with values of MSI status were analyzed.

TABLE 3 - Multivariate Analyses of 8 Prespecified Variables and Tumor Grades (Gradeconv and GradePOR) for RFS Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model in the FAS
Standard Model (Prespecified 8 Factors) Tested Model 1 (8 Factors and Gradeconv) Tested Model 2 (8 Factors and GradePOR)
Parameters Category HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P
No. lymph nodes examined ≥12 1 1 1
<12 1.30 (0.91-1.87) 0.155 1.30 (0.9-1.87) 0.164 1.30 (0.90-1.87) 0.165
Size of tumor <50 mm 1 1 1
≥50 mm 1.39 (1.00-1.93) 0.052 1.40 (1.01-1.95) 0.046 1.35 (0.97-1.88) 0.075
T-stage T3 1 1 1
T4 2.40 (1.70-3.39) <0.001 2.43 (1.71-3.44) <0.001 2.33 (1.65-3.30) <0.001
Lymphatic invasion Negative 1 1 1
Positive 0.91 (0.65-1.28) 0.595 0.92 (0.66-1.29) 0.633 0.90 (0.65-1.26) 0.551
Venous invasion Negative 1 1 1
Positive 1.13 (0.80-1.59) 0.502 1.11 (0.78-1.56) 0.573 1.16 (0.82-1.64) 0.410
MSI status MSS/MSI-low 1 1 1
MSI-high 0.31 (0.11-0.83) 0.020 0.38 (0.14-1.09) 0.071 0.27 (0.10-0.73) 0.010
Treatment arm Surgery-alone 1 1 1
UFT 0.86 (0.63-1.19) 0.358 0.85 (0.62-1.17) 0.321 0.85 (0.62-1.17) 0.308
Tumor budding BD1 1 1 1
BD2 1.53 (0.98-2.38) 0.059 1.51 (0.97-2.35) 0.067 1.34 (0.77-2.35) 0.302
BD3 2.77 (1.82-4.21) <0.001 2.71 (1.78-4.13) <0.001 2.09 (1.18-3.70) <0.001
Gradeconv G1 1
G2 1.16 (0.84-1.62) 0.370
G3 0.57 (0.17-1.91) 0.363
GradePOR G1 1
G2 1.23 (0.69-2.20) 0.481
G3 1.86 (0.96-3.62) 0.068
Test to investigate the addition of Gradeconv or GradePOR to standard model*
 Wald test for ordered grade (df=1) 1.05 (0.78-1.40) 0.763 1.40 (1.02-1.93) 0.036
 Wald test for grade with non-G3/G3 (df=1) 0.53 (0.16-1.75) 0.296 1.54 (1.02-2.33) 0.040
*Estimated model was constructed with all variables included in the standard model and a tumor grading system (Gradeconv or GradePOR).

TABLE 4 - Multivariate Analyses of 7 Prespecified Variables and Tumor Grades (Gradeconv and GradePOR) for RFS Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model in the MSS/MSI-low Subset
Standard Model (Prespecified 7 Factors) Tested Model 1 (7 Factors and Gradeconv) Tested Model 2 (7 Factors and GradePOR)
Parameters Category HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P
No. lymph nodes examined ≥12 1 1 1
<12 1.35 (0.94-1.95) 0.110 1.34 (0.93-1.93) 0.118 1.35 (0.93-1.94) 0.114
Size of tumor <50 mm 1 1 1
≥50 mm 1.45 (1.04-2·02) 0.031 1.45 (1.04-2.02) 0.029 1.40 (1.00-1.96) 0.048
T-stage T3 1 1 1
T4 2.34 (1.65-3.32) <0.001 2.36 (1.66-3.36) <0.001 2.25 (1.58-3.20) <0.001
Lymphatic invasion Negative 1 1 1
Positive 0.91 (0.65-1.27) 0.562 0.91 (0.65-1.28) 0.598 0.90 (0.64-1.26) 0.531
Venous invasion Negative 1 1 1
Positive 1.11 (0.78-1.57) 0.576 1.09 (0·77-1.55) 0.628 1.14 (0.80-1.62) 0.465
Treatment arm Surgery-alone 1 1 1
UFT 0.87 (0.63-1.20) 0.381 0.86 (0.62-1.19) 0.360 0.85 (0.61-1.17) 0.323
Tumor budding BD1 1 1 1
BD2 1.55 (0.99-2.42) 0.057 1.54 (0.98-2.41) 0.059 1.31 (0.74-2.31) 0.352
BD3 2.83 (1.85-4.34) <0.001 2.78 (1.81-4.27) <0.001 2.01 (1.12-3.61) 0.019
Gradeconv G1 1
G2 1.19 (0.85-1.66) 0.320
G3 0.90 (0.28-2.89) 0.858
GradePOR G1 1
G2 1.30 (0.72-2.35) 0.385
G3 2.07 (1.05-4.07) 0.036
Test to investigate the addition of Gradeconv or GradePOR to the standard model*
 Wald test for ordered grade (df=1) 1.12 (0.83-1.52) 0.447 1.48 (1.07-2.04) 0.017
 Wald test for grade with non-G3/G3 (df=1) 0.82 (0.26-2.57) 0.727 1.63 (1.08-2.47) 0.022
*Estimated model was constructed with all variables included in the standard model and a tumor grading system (Gradeconv or GradePOR).

Supplementary Tables 1 (Supplemental Digital Content 1, and 2 (Supplemental Digital Content 2, show the results of the sensitivity analysis with another set of combined prognostic factors for the FAS and the MSS/MSI-low subset. The results were similar in terms of GradePOR, which was selected as an independent factor for RFS.

GradePOR, Recurrence Rate, and Recurrence Pattern (First Relapse Organs)

The recurrence rates during the study period were 6.7%, 14.3%, and 23.0% for the G1POR, G2POR, and G3POR groups, respectively (P<0.0001; Table 5). The rates ranged more widely in the MSS/MSI-low subset (from 6.4% to 29.8%), in which the 3-tiered GradePOR was significantly associated with the incidence of recurrence in the liver, lung, lymph node, and peritoneum.

TABLE 5 - GradePOR and the Incidence of Postoperative Oncologic Events
GradePOR, N (%)
Data Set Events G1POR G2POR G3POR P
FAS Recurrence 21 (6.7) 75 (14.3) 35 (23.0) <0.0001
 Liver 14 (4.5) 31 (5.9) 15 (9.9)
 Lungs 5 (1.6) 22 (4.2) 10 (6.6)
 Lymph node 1 (0.3) 10 (1.9) 6 (3.9)
 Peritoneum 1 (0.3) 12 (2.3) 6 (3.9)
 Local 3 (1.0) 14 (2.7) 4 (2.6)
Secondary malignancy 36 (11.5) 39 (7.4) 12 (7.9) 0.1183
MSS/MSI-low subset Recurrence 19 (6.4) 71 (14.7) 34 (29.8) <0.0001
 Liver 12 (4.1) 30 (6.2) 15 (13.2)
 Lungs 5 (1.7) 21 (4.3) 10 (8.8)
 Lymph node 1 (0.3) 10 (2.1) 6 (5.3)
 Peritoneum 1 (0.3) 12 (2.5) 5 (4.4)
 Local 3 (1.0) 12 (2.5) 4 (3.5)
Secondary malignancy 33 (11.2) 35 (7.2) 8 (7.0) 0.1336

Impact of Adjuvant Chemotherapy on RFS According to the GradePOR

In the interaction analysis, the treatment effect of UFT was not significantly different between the G3POR and non-G3POR groups in the FAS (P=0.247) and in the MSS/MSI-low subset (P=0.349), but we observed a greater difference in the 5-year RFS rate between the UFT group and the surgery-alone group in patients with G3POR tumors in the MSS/MSI-low subset. More specifically, the RFS was quite similar between the UFT group and surgery-alone group in patients with non-G3POR tumors (HR, 0.92; 95% CI: 0.63-1.24; Fig. 6A), whereas the 5-year RFS rate was better by ∼9% in the UFT group than in the surgery-alone group in patients with G3POR tumors (HR, 0.65; 95% CI: 0.34-1.24; Fig. 6B).

Comparison of Kaplan-Meier estimates of the RFS rate between the surgery-alone group and the chemotherapy group in the MSS/MSI-low subset. Log-rank test: A, P=0.6595. B, P=0.1889. *The HR for UFT (reference, surgery alone), the corresponding 95% CI, and the P-value were calculated.


Even now, the method of tumor grading is not unified worldwide. Grading differs depending on the pathologic reporting protocols, and there is some debate whether grading should be based on the predominant pattern of differentiation20 or the area of least differentiation.21 In contrast from these reporting protocols, the guidelines of the College of American Pathologists (CAP)7 have adopted the World Health Organization (WHO) classification, which defines the grade based on the percentage of gland formation (>95% as G1, 5% to 95% as G2, and <50% as G3).22 None of these grading methods have been fully validated in terms of their effectiveness in the prognostic stratification in stage II colon cancer.

Although it may be reasonable to use the representative histologic findings to determine the diagnostic designation of the tumor, the predominant differentiation policy lacks the scientific evidence to support its prognostic value.23 On the contrary, the least differentiation policy would be logical in terms of what determines the patients’ oncologic outcome, which would be the absolute quantity of the cancer component with highly malignant potential rather than the percentage of the component in the whole tumor. However, the extent of the poorly differentiated area to be judged as G3 has not been specified, and the distinction between G3 and non-G3 has been left to the discretion of the pathologist; therefore, grading is largely subjective and uncertain.6 Given these backgrounds, we expect the results of the present study to address the stalemate associated with such issues with the G3 criteria.

According to a previous study that investigated the prognostic impact of the extent of POR, the area of POR corresponding to the full microscopic field of a ×40 objective lens, rather than that of a ×20 or ×10 objective lens and 50% of the tumor area, was the significant factor that influenced the survival outcome of patients with stage I to III CRC.8 In the population studied in the SACURA trial, the prognostic value of POR based on the ×40 objective lens rule was prospectively validated, and its impact on RFS was compared with that of the predominant differentiation policy. Consequently, a Cox proportional hazard model with other prespecified factors showed that G3POR, but not G3conv, was an independent adverse prognostic factor for stage II colon cancer; this result was further verified by other sensitivity analyses. Specifically, only 5% of stage II tumors met the diagnostic criteria for G3conv in the FAS, and, crucially, G3 determined by the predominant differentiation policy was not so much an adverse factor but was more likely to be a favorable factor in terms of its effect on the RFS (HR, 0.40; 95% CI: 0.13-1.25). In contrast, ∼15% of stage II tumors were classified as G3POR, which was able to effectively select the patient population with unfavorable outcomes, that is, the population with an HR of 1.93 (95% CI: 1.34-2.77).

Apart from the robustness of the prognostic value of the ×40 objective lens field rule as the criterion of tumor grade, some important findings were presented in the current study. First, tumor grading based on the extent of a poorly differentiated lesion was improved by including the MSI status. More specifically, by excluding MSI-high tumors from tumors classified as G3POR, the HR of the RFS rate of G3POR compared with that of non-G3POR tumors increased from 1.93 to 2.61, which indicates the improved value of the tumor differentiation grade. This result suggests that poorly differentiated colonic carcinoma with no glandular structures constitutes 2 different entities, which markedly differ in their genotype and prognosis,13 and that MSI-high tumors should be treated separately even if they are poorly differentiated, as stated in the NCCN guidelines.4 Unfortunately, in Japan, MSI testing for patients with early-stage CRC is not currently covered by the national health insurance program, but this situation is expected to change so that clinicians can more accurately determine the indication of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage II colon cancer based on the MSI status of the tumor.

Second, the study results showed that G3POR affected survival results independently of tumor budding, an important prognostic determinant for patients included in the SACURA trial.16 The ITBCC2016 concluded that tumor budding is not the same as tumor grade,18 which was originally derived from the differential pathologic characteristics, but the results of our prognostic analyses strongly support the conclusion of the ITBCC2016 in terms of its independent impact on survival. We believe both tumor grade and tumor budding are important factors to be recorded in pathology reports as factors for clinicians to consider when selecting an appropriate treatment regimen for colon cancer.

Third, the present study may be the first to prospectively evaluate the predictive value of tumor differentiation grade exclusively for stage II colon cancer. Consequently, the RFS results were quite similar regardless of the administration of UFT adjuvant chemotherapy for 1 year in patients with non-G3POR tumors, whereas adjuvant chemotherapy improved the 5-year RFS rate by ∼9% in patients with G3POR tumors (63% in the surgery-alone group and 72% in the UFT group). The P-values for interaction were statistically insignificant, which is likely due to the lack of statistical power caused by the sample size, as this was not predetermined to clarify the effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with a high risk of recurrence. However, the results of our randomized controlled study suggest that the benefit derived from adjuvant therapy would differ between patients with G3POR tumors and those with non-G3POR tumors and that the reduction in recurrence with adjuvant chemotherapy is highly expected in patients with G3POR tumors. Future studies are needed to clarify the definite value of the current global-standard adjuvant chemotherapy, such as 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin, capecitabine, and oxaliplatin-based regimens, against G3POR tumors.

Multivariate analyses in the present study demonstrated that the distinction between G1POR and G2POR tumors, as determined using the cutoff of 10 poorly differentiated clusters in a ×4 objective lens field, had no independent prognostic value, although a significant difference in survival was observed by univariate analysis. A poorly differentiated cluster is a histologic feature that predominantly appears at the leading front of the tumor, thereby indicating its possible relevance to epithelial-mesenchymal transition, likely as tumor budding.24 A 3-tiered grading system with 2 cutoff values of clusters at the hotspot in a microscopic field of a ×20 objective lens (5 and 10) is an alternative method by which poorly differentiated clusters are evaluated.25 More specifically, this is the method where the framework of the tumor budding grading method would be adopted, which has been used in the Japanese guidelines since 200917 and was thereafter accepted as the standard of budding evaluation criteria at the ITBCC2016.18 Since the first report in 2012,25 an increasing number of studies has shown the prognostic value of this grading scheme,26–28 thereby indicating that this alternative method is likely more appropriate for the evaluation of poorly differentiated clusters, rather than the method adopted in the present study. Future studies should aim to optimize the selection of patients at a high risk of recurrence who would benefit from chemotherapy on the basis of comprehensive assessment of new risk factors, including G3POR, a high grade of budding, and the presence of poorly differentiated clusters.

A poorly differentiated phenotype is conventionally defined as a tumor with “highly irregular glands or loss of glandular differentiation and loss of nuclear polarity” (Association of Directors of Anatomic and Surgical Pathology)29 or a tumor that is “either irregularly folded, distorted and often small tubules or the absence of any tubular formation” (The Royal College of Pathologists).20 Because these subjective and multifactorial criteria may cause increased interobserver disagreement in the grading process,30 we provided a simple definition for POR in 2008 as “an area composed of adenocarcinoma with no gland formation,”8 which is expected to decrease the ambiguity of judgment. Consequently, G3POR, which is characterized by a simple definition for POR and the least differentiation policy with the ×40 objective lens rule, is expected to have an advantage in the objectiveness of the criteria compared with G3 defined by the UICC/TNM or the WHO classification. The robust prognostic value of G3POR validated in the present study is promising for future global initiatives to solve the long-pending issue of the lack of unified tumor grading criteria.


The authors are grateful to all the patients and the coinvestigators for their cooperation in the SACURA trial. A list of participating institutions is available in the web-appendix (Supplemental Digital Content 3,

The authors also thank the following collaborators for their contributions to this trial: Kenichi Kono, Satoshi Nakagawa, Yasuyo Kusunoki, Fumie Kinoshita, and Naoko Kashiwagi for data management; Tasuku Inaji, Hayami Tsumura, Akinori Ogasawara, Yuri Ueda, and Syuichiro Sugimoto as the project office staff; Yoshihiro Matsubara, Satomi Sakabayashi, Yoko Nakagawa, and Tatsuo Kagimura as the statistical staff; Yoko Takagi, Aiko Saito, Sachiko Kishiro, and Yasuyo Okamoto as the translational study office staff, and Prof. Masanori Fukushima as the director of TRI.


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tumor grading; poorly differentiated component; tumor budding; microsatellite instability status; adjuvant chemotherapy

Supplemental Digital Content

Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.