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Long-Term Tracking of Physical Activity Behaviors in Women: The WIN Study


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Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise: January 2011 - Volume 43 - Issue 1 - p 165-170
doi: 10.1249/MSS.0b013e3181e61937
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Low levels of physical activity (PA) have increasingly been identified as a risk factor for morbidities and mortality. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) established national guidelines for PA that included both aerobic and strengthening activities (18,27). Current guidelines call for 75 vigorous PA (VPA) to 150 moderate PA (MPA) minutes per week as sufficient for health benefits. A dose response is suggested with increased benefit from greater PA. Healthy People 2010 (26) sets a goal of 30% of adults engaging in 30 min of moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) regularly, preferably daily. Baseline data from 1997 suggest that only 15% of those 18 yr and older engaged in MPA for at least 30 min five or more days per week (26). Combinations of VPA and MPA (MVPA) can be accumulated at a 2:1 ratio with 2 min of MPA, providing roughly the equivalent benefit of 1 min of VPA. Moderate-intensity PA is between 3.0 and 5.99 METs, and vigorous-intensity PA is ≥6.0 METs. As an alternative to minutes of MVPA conducted daily, the DHHS report suggests that ≥500 MET·min·wk−1 is sufficient for health benefits. The DHHS report (27) also recommends moderate- or high-intensity muscular strengthening activities involving all major muscle groups on ≥2 d·wk−1. Healthy People 2010 (26) sets a target of 30% of individuals participating in such muscle strengthening activities. The prevalence of muscle strengthening activities conducted ≥2 d·wk−1 was 18% in 1998 (26).

In addition to self-reported minutes of PA conducted each week, there is increased interest in step counters/pedometers to track PA. An issue with pedometer steps is that they do not reflect intensity of PA (i.e., failure to differentiate between light PA, MPA, and VPA). Nevertheless, various guidelines have been suggested for the number of steps per day (SPD) that individuals should accumulate for health benefits. Tudor-Locke and Bassett (22) and Tudor-Locke et al. (24) suggest the following pedometer SPD as indices of public health for adults:

Reports of the amount of PA conducted by adults vary widely. Results vary because of the questions asked and the reporting window (e.g., days, weeks, months, years). Results from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) (7) suggest that 64.5% of U.S. adults engage in sufficient PA for health benefits on the basis of the newly developed DHHS PA guidelines (18,27). It is also reported (7) that 48.8% of American adults reported meeting the Healthy People 2010 PA objective of 30 min of PA daily. However, Troiano et al. (21), using accelerometers, reported that <5% of adults engage in PA for a minimum of 30 min·d−1 involving bouts of ≥10 min when more objectively defined amounts of MVPA are used.

Interest lies in how truly physically active individuals are in terms of MVPA and muscle strengthening activities. Long-term tracking of PA behaviors could provide better estimates of PA behaviors. The Women's Exercise Injuries: Incidence and Risk Factors (WIN study) (1) study tracks self-reported MVPA, muscle strengthening activities, and pedometer steps weekly and provides the means with which to estimate long-term PA behaviors in community-living adult women. The first purpose of this research is to report prevalence estimates of PA behaviors in the women using multiple criteria. Second, using Cronbach's alpha, we report the long-term stability (52- and 4-wk periods) of PA behaviors in community-dwelling women. Lastly, the different self-reports of PA were investigated to determine congruence among the self-reporting PA methods.


Community-living women were recruited from a listing of >6000 women who have visited, contacted, or completed health and/or fitness assessments at The Cooper Institute. Additional recruitment methods included advertisements, health fairs, and community meetings. Attempts were made to have a sample reflective of the greater Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex consisting of approximately 6 million people. Participants had to be at least 20 yr of age and have access to a computer with Internet capabilities. Women were excluded if they had a disease or condition that limited their mobility, if they needed an assistive device to ambulate, or if the condition limited or interfered with their usual daily or recreational activities. Recruitment methods resulted in 23% race or ethnic minority at study onset. Before study enrollment, each participant provided written informed consent that is approved annually by institutional review boards at The Cooper Institute, University of North Texas, and Texas Woman's University. The WIN study tracks PA behaviors and musculoskeletal injuries in adult women for up to 3 yr. Details of WIN are presented elsewhere (1). Key to the present work is that BRFSS-related PA behaviors are reported weekly via a secure internet web site. Yore et al. (29) provide evidence of the reliability and validity of the BRFSS PA questions. In addition, women wear an Accusplit 120XL-xBX pedometer and report the number of steps taken and the number of days of pedometer wearing for the preceding 7- to 8-d period. The Accusplit 120XL-xBX (Livermore, CA) is based on the Digi-Walker internal mechanism and has manufacturer-reported 98% accuracy. Jordan et al. (16) provide documentation of the pedometer's validity. A $10.00 per month incentive is paid if the participant reports ≥3 wk of PA data during the 4-wk reporting period, payable every 6 months. The specific PA questions asked are presented in Table 1.

Weekly PA reporting questions in the WIN study.

Women's PA behaviors were determined in five ways:

  • 1) Minutes of self-reported PA averaged across the reporting period:
    • a) MPA minutes,
    • b) VPA minutes, and
    • c) MVPA minutes, where vigorous minutes are multiplied by 2 and added to moderate minutes.
  • 2) Total MET-minutes of MVPA per week were determined and then averaged across total reporting weeks. Moderate minutes were multiplied by 4.5 METs (midway between 3.0 and 6.0 METs), and vigorous minutes were multiplied by 7.5 METs (greater than the minimum VPA METs value with 9 METs viewed as related to all-cause mortality in women) (2).
  • 3) Number of minutes of self-reported walking per week. Walking activity is a subset of both MPA and VPA but includes other reasons for walking (e.g., transportation, employment). Reported walking minutes were averaged across the reporting period for each participant. Walking is one of the most common PA behaviors (13,20).
  • 4) The number of days per week of reported strengthening activities was averaged across the surveillance period.
  • 5) Steps per week were determined by calculating the average SPD for the reported days that the pedometer was worn that week and then is adjusted to reflect 7 d if the number of days the pedometer was worn less or more than 7 d in the reporting period. The online login window is open 1800 h Saturday to 2400 h Monday so participants can log more or less than 7 d in some weeks.

Cronbach's coefficient alpha was used to estimate three different intraclass reliabilities for each PA measure. Initially, alpha was calculated across the first 52-wk period for all participants who had at least 52 reported PA weeks. This provides a consistency estimate of self-reported PA measures across the year. Second, a randomly chosen 4-wk consecutive period was identified for each participant who had at least 52 wk, and the alpha coefficient reliability was calculated for this random 4-wk period. Lastly, a random 4 wk of self-reports across the entire weeks of reporting were analyzed. The random 4 wk varied across each participant. The last two analyses provide estimates of the reliability of 4 wk of data collection.

Sufficient MVPA was categorized in seven ways, with those not meeting the criterion identified as not sufficiently active for health benefits. All values were averaged across the total number of reporting weeks for each participant.

  • 1) ≥150 min of MPA,
  • 2) ≥75 min of VPA,
  • 3) ≥150 min of MVPA with each minute of VPA counted twice as much as MPA,
  • 4) ≥500 MET·min·wk−1 on the basis of the calculation earlier,
  • 5) ≥150 min of walking per week,
  • 6) ≥2 d of muscle strengthening activities, and
  • 7) ≥7500 SPD.

Weekly data were excluded if the participant reported an injury (n = 1749 wk) during the reporting period that interrupted their work or PA behaviors for ≥2 d or saw a health care provider for an injury. In addition, step data were excluded from the analyses if the participant reported <3500 (n = 1411 wk) or >150,000 (n = 316 wk) steps in a week. These lower- and upper-bound values were deemed outliers. The 3500 steps per week is 500 steps per day for a 7-d period and indicate very limited activity during the reporting period, failure to wear the pedometer most waking hours, and/or pedometer malfunction. During the early phase of the WIN study, there was no self-verification on step counts >150,000. The WIN Internet site now asks participants to confirm steps in excess of 150,000 steps per week. Early verification of step reports in excess of 150,000 indicated >99% were reporting errors.


Mean ± SD PA results are presented for 917 women (77% white, 23% nonwhite) across a mean of 68.15 (±29.07) and a median of 71.0 follow-up weeks (range = 1-125) for all 917 participants. One participant was excluded because of insufficient data. Baseline descriptive statistics are presented in Table 2. Seven hundred and sixty-three (83%) of the women remained active in the WIN study at reporting of the current data. Comparisons between those who remain involved and those withdrawing indicate those withdrawing are significantly younger (P < 0.001). Other descriptive characteristics were not meaningfully different for continuing participants and those withdrawing. Withdrawing participants reported more PA minutes and MET-minutes than those continuing to participate but reported less days of strengthening activities and weekly pedometer steps. Education level, employment status, and household income are also presented in Table 2.

Descriptive statistics for WIN participants.

Whether a woman reported meeting PA guidelines across long-term follow-up depended on the criterion used (Table 3). Approximately a quarter of women reported ≥150 min of MPA per week and nearly half reported ≥75 min of VPA per week. More than half (55.7%) of participants report on average weekly MVPA minutes sufficient for health benefits. When transformed to MET-minutes per week, this percentage increases to 63%. Considering solely walking minutes, approximately one-quarter (23%) of participants meet the ≥150 min·wk−1 of MVPA guideline. Only 15% of WIN participants self-report conducting strengthening activities ≥2 d·wk−1. Nearly two in five (39%) of women reported step counts in excess of 7500 SPD. Another commonly (8,14) used guideline/criterion is 10,000 SPD. Only 12.9% of WIN participants averaged 10,000 SPD across the reporting period. Approximately 9 of 10 (88.9%) WIN participants wore their pedometer 6 or 7 d·wk−1 (Table 4). We tested the associations between meeting goals and age decades (20-29, 30-39, 40-49, 50-59, and 60+ yr) and body mass index (BMI) categories (<25, 25-29.9, 30+ kg·m−2) to determine whether meeting PA goals is a function of age and BMI. Increasing age was related (P < 0.05) to meeting PA goals with MPA. Older individuals were less likely (P < 0.001) to meet PA goals with VPA. Younger women were more likely (P < 0.05) to meet the strengthening activities goal. Older individuals were less likely to meet the 7500 and 10,000 SPD goal (P < 0.01). BMI was related to meeting the various PA goals (all P values < 0.001), except walking minutes with prevalence of meeting PA goals decreasing as BMI increased. These results are consistent with previous national research, where PA was related to age (6) and BMI (17).

Prevalence (%) of women meeting PA guidelines (Na = 917).
Alpha reliabilities for PA measures (Na = 725).

Alpha reliabilities (α) for PA measures are presented in Table 4. The first 52 wk of reporting was used for all participants (α ≥ 0.97). When a random 4-wk reporting period was used, the α was reduced but still remained very high (α ≥ 0.88 in all but one case). Reliabilities for four nonconsecutive random weeks, although also lower, remain very high (α ≥ 0.84 in all variables except VPA minutes per week). We calculated alpha reliabilities for the 52-wk period and for the randomly chosen consecutive 4-wk period for each of the PA measures by the age decades and BMI categories provided earlier. Reliabilities remained high (≥0.96 for 52 wk and 52 of 56 α are ≥0.80 for the consecutive 4-wk period and 34 of 56 are ≥0.90). In all variables, PA behaviors are quite stable across the reporting periods and subgroups.

Comparisons of PA criteria sufficient for health benefits are presented in Table 5. Table 5 illustrates significant congruency between measures of PA. There is 93% agreement between meeting guidelines for minutes per week and MET-minutes per week. This is a result of MET-minutes per week being a function of reported MVPA minutes per week. When considering SPD, congruency reduces to 63% for MVPA minutes per week and 61% for MVPA MET-minutes per week. The largest incongruencies (27% and 32%) occur with SPD where participants report meeting MVPA minutes or MET-minutes per week guidelines, but the reported step counts are <7500.

Comparison of criteria for PA sufficient for health benefits.


The results for MVPA minutes per week suggest that approximately half (55.7%) of women engage in sufficient minutes of PA for health benefits. However, when converted to MET-minutes per week, nearly two-thirds (63%) of women reported engaging in sufficient PA for health benefits. The 63% compares with the 64.5% reported from the BRFSS data (7). Walking minutes may be an important means of PA for women given that 23% of women report engaging in walking behaviors ≥150 min·wk−1. Concern is often raised about the validity of self-reported PA behaviors. In an attempt to validate the WIN self-reports, we conducted a WIN substudy and found the correlation between self-reported MVPA and MVPA estimated with the Walk4Life MVP® pedometer to be r = 0.41, indicating that the convergent validity of the self-report PA behaviors is about mid range for those reported by Yore et el. (29). The correlation between WIN-reported steps and MVPA minutes was 0.27 (P < 0.0001). Collectively, these coefficients provide evidence of the validity of WIN-reported PA behaviors.

The amount of self-reported strengthening activity compares with that reported for females (14%) as baseline in Healthy People 2010 (26). Only 15% of WIN participants meet the DHHS guidelines for strengthening activities. This is particularly significant given the accumulating evidence of the importance of strengthening activities on health (11,19) and calls for increasing strengthening activities (27,28). The resistance training question (Table 1) is generic in nature and does not specifically identify moderate and/or vigorous intensity, nor does it specifically query about all major muscle groups. Thus, one might expect that a liberal interpretation of the resistance training question would increase the reported prevalence of resistance training activities. No attempt is made in the WIN study to encourage PA behaviors different from those typically conducted when they enrolled in the study. The WIN procedures are solely surveillance, and there is no intent of intervention or encouragement to initiate, to continue, to increase, or to change PA behaviors.

The WIN participants averaged 6476 SPD across a week of reporting. This is similar to the SPD reported for women in a meta-analysis (3). The prevalence of women taking >7500 SPD is slightly less, and those >10,000 is slightly more than the "censored" SPD reported by Tudor-Locke et al. (25). In sum, the SPD and the week counts in long-term tracking are similar to those reported elsewhere.

The uniqueness of this study is that >900 women were initially tracked for PA behaviors weekly for an extended period (up to 125 wk), providing long-term estimates of PA behaviors in a community-living cohort. Alpha reliabilities across the first 52 wk and for randomly selected 4-wk periods (Table 4) indicate very stable PA behaviors across long reporting periods. The current PA measures are the largest long-term, nearly real-time surveillance of PA behaviors in women. Bowles et al. (4) report the validity of historical recall of PA over a 10-yr period. Others (23) have used more objective measures but for smaller sample sizes and/or shorter reporting periods. The current results suggest that PA behaviors in a large sample of community-living women are quite stable across long periods.

Overall, the current results suggest that stable estimates of PA behaviors can be obtained in as little as 4 wk of self-reporting. Interestingly, VPA has the lowest estimated reliability across periods. Previous shorter-term reports of PA behaviors have lower reliability for PA measures (10), and others report very high reliabilities (12). It is suggested as a result of the long-term tracking conducted in WIN that PA behavior appears to be quite stable across long periods. Certainly, individuals adopt, increase, or decrease PA behaviors as a result of injury, health, motivation, and lifestyle behaviors; however, changes appear to have little influence on total PA behavior patterns.

Depending on the criterion used, it is estimated that many of the WIN women do engage in sufficient PA for health benefits. The estimates are between 25% (MPA only) and 63% (MET·min·wk−1). Minutes per week indicate more than half the women engage in ≥150 min of MVPA per week. Agreement among the minutes, MET-minutes, and SPD measures suggest that at least 29% (other estimates are 32% and 56%; Table 5) of WIN participants have two indicants that they are meeting PA guidelines for health benefits over long periods of time. These dissimilarities in reported values are further indication of the difficulty in determining true PA behaviors. Nevertheless, >60% of self-report PA measures agree about meeting PA guidelines. The results suggest that large portions of the WIN study population women engage in PA behaviors that meet national guidelines and are sufficiently active for health benefits. Importantly, on the basis of three different PA criteria, Healthy People 2010 (26) objectives for PA are met in this cohort. Although the WIN purposes did not include increases in PA, it is possible that because participants report their weekly PA behaviors, they may have become more aware of their PA levels, and this alone could have served as a motivation to increase PA. Clemes and Parker (9) have reported reactivity in pedometer wearing. Bravata et al. (5) reported increased daily steps when using pedometers, a daily step goal, and logging procedures during short-term tracking.

Although the WIN study is long term and the sample size substantial, a limitation to the work is that participants are incentivized, albeit only a maximum of $10.00 per 4-wk period, to participate. Thus, some may report values that are estimates or that do not accurately reflect behaviors simply to comply with the study protocol and receive study incentives. We have no evidence that such occurs. On the contrary, the WIN team meets weekly to track adherence, to contact participants, to encourage participation, and to disenroll those not interested in continuing. A second limitation is that levels of education and income may limit generalizability.

Compliance to the WIN self-report protocol has been excellent. Greater than 90% of active WIN participants self-report their PA behaviors three times or more in a 4-wk reporting period. Continued tracking of PA behaviors in large-scale cohorts can be conducted if sufficient time, effort, incentives, and resources are provided to encourage continued participation. Longitudinal tracking such as that demonstrated in WIN can provide insight into long-term PA behaviors in other cohorts (e.g., men, elderly, patients, and youth). Importantly, high alpha reliabilities (generally ≥0.88) are obtained across long periods (52 wk, four randomly selected weeks, and four randomly selected consecutive weeks). The high alpha values suggest that stable estimates of PA behaviors can be obtained in as little as a single month. These high alpha reliabilities are obtained across age and BMI subgroups.


PA behaviors are stable across long periods and may be an indication of the difficulty associated with behavior change and adoption of PA behaviors sufficient for health benefits. On the basis of long-term PA surveillance, it is suggested that approximately 50% or more of these community-living women engage in sufficient PA for health benefits. Far fewer (15%) engage in strengthening activities for ≥2 d·wk−1. As expected, the prevalence of specific PA behaviors varies as a function of the types of items asked. Nevertheless, depending on the criterion used, roughly half of this community-living adult women population self-report sufficient PA for health benefits, a value exceeding the Healthy People 2010 PA goal.

This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health NIAMS Grant R01 AR052459 entitled "Women's Exercise Injuries: Incidence and Risk Factors," James R. Morrow, Jr., Principal Investigator.

The authors acknowledge The Cooper Institute and all the members of the WIN Study Team, past and present, who contributed to the WIN success, including Steven N. Blair and Michael J. LaMonte.

The results of the present study do not constitute endorsement by the American College of Sports and Medicine.


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