Sexually Transmitted Diseases

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Sexually Transmitted Diseases:
June 2004 - Volume 31 - Issue 6 - pp 380-387
Article

Scale-Free Networks and Sexually Transmitted Diseases: A Description of Observed Patterns of Sexual Contacts in Britain and Zimbabwe

SCHNEEBERGER, ANNE DR RER NAT; MERCER, CATHERINE H. PhD; GREGSON, SIMON A. J. PhD; FERGUSON, NEIL M. DPHIL; NYAMUKAPA, CONSTANCE A. MSC; ANDERSON, ROY M. FRS; JOHNSON, ANNE M. MD; GARNETT, GEOFF P. PhD

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Abstract

Background: Sexually transmitted infections spread through a network of contacts created by the formation of sexual partnerships. In physics, networks have been characterized as scale-free if they follow a power law with an exponent between 2 and 3.

Objective: The objective of this study was to test statistically whether distributions of numbers of sexual partners reported from different populations are well described by power laws.

Study Design: Power laws and an exponential null model are fitted by maximum likelihood techniques to reported distributions of numbers of partners. Data are taken from 4 population-based surveys, 3 from Britain and 1 from rural Zimbabwe.

Results: The networks can be described by power laws over a number of orders of magnitude. In addition, the derived exponents differ significantly and meaningfully, with an accelerating network formed between men who have sex with men (MSM).

Conclusions: A scale-free network approach provides a reasonable description of distributions of reported numbers of sexual partners.

© Copyright 2004 American Sexually Transmitted Diseases Association