The literature on the mortality of depression was assessed with respect to five issues: 1) strength of evidence for increased mortality, 2) controlling for mediating factors, 3) the contribution of suicide, 4) variation across sample types, and 5) possible mechanisms.
All relevant English language databases from 1966 to 1996 were searched for reviews and studies that included 1) a formal assessment of depressive symptoms or disorders, 2) death rates or risks, and 3) an appropriate comparison group.
There were 57 studies found; 29 (51%) were positive, 13 (23%) negative, and 15 (26%) mixed. Twenty-one studies (37%) ranked among the better studies on the strength of evidence scale used in this study, but there are too few comparable, well-controlled studies to provide a sound estimate of the mortality risk associated with depression. Only six studies controlled for more than one of the four major mediating factors. Suicide accounted for less than 20% of the deaths in psychiatric samples, and less than 1% in medical and community samples. Depression seems to increase the risk of death by cardiovascular disease, especially in men, but depression does not seem to increase the risk of death by cancer. Variability in methods prevents a more rigorous meta-analysis of risk.
The studies linking depression to early death are poorly controlled, but they suggest that depression substantially increases the risk of death, especially death by unnatural causes and cardiovascular disease. Future well-controlled studies of high risk groups may guide efforts to develop treatments that reduce the mortality risk of depression.
From the Department of Psychiatry (L.R.W.), University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio; Brigham and Women's Hospital (G.E.V.), Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; and Institute for Health Policy and Health Services Research, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio (V.E.W.).
Address reprint requests to: Lawson R. Wulsin, MD, Department of Psychiatry, 231 Bethesda Ave., ML 559, Cincinnati, OH 45267.
Received for publication August 27, 1997; revision received August 25, 1998.