Objectives: The aims of this study were to analyze the viral load and CD4+ lymphocyte outcomes and the concentration-response of lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) in the treatment of HIV-1–infected antiretroviral-naive children, to determine whether current dosing guidelines for LPV/r achieve Ctrough above 1.0 mg/L for naive patients to compare efficacy of World Health Organization 2010 and Food and Drug Administration dosing recommendations.
Methods: Clinical and biologic examinations were performed before treatment, 1 month, 3 months and then every 3 months in 47 antiretroviral-naive children who started an LPV/r-based regimen. LPV concentrations were also monitored on a routine basis, after 2 weeks of treatment initiation, between 1 and 24 hours after dosing in all children. A population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic analysis was performed using an HIV dynamic model. Simulations of World Health Organization 2010 and Food and Drug Administration dosing recommendations were compared in terms of viral suppression.
Results: The HIV dynamic model adequately described the data. According to the concentration-effect curve, the LPV concentration providing 90% (CLPV90) and 95% (CLPV95) of effect were 1.2 and 2.4 mg/L, respectively. The World Health Organization 2010 guidelines should provide a higher probability of viral success, particularly in infants.
Conclusions: The CLPV90 derived from this model supports current dosing guidelines. However, the target of 2.4 mg/L corresponding to CLPV95 could be used to enhance the efficacy of this drug in treatment-naive children.