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Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal:
doi: 10.1097/INF.0b013e3181dd1fc4
Original Studies

Predictive Factors of Morbidity in Childhood Parapneumonic Effusion-associated Pneumonia: A Retrospective Study

Picard, Elie MD*; Joseph, Leon MB ChB, MRCPCH*; Goldberg, Shmuel MD*; Mimouni, Francis B. MD†; Deeb, Maher MD‡; Kleid, David MD§; Raveh, David MD¶

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Abstract

Study Objective: To find the clinical and laboratory criteria that best predict a prolonged fever in children with parapneumonic effusion-associated pneumonia treated conservatively.

Design: Retrospective, cohort study.

Patients: Children admitted to the Shaare Zedek Medical Center between January 1, 1997, and December 31, 2006, and who had been discharged with a diagnosis of empyema and pleurisy.

Measurements and Results: One hundred-twenty children were included, all of whom were treated with antibiotics; in 80 patients, a thoracic drain was introduced; in 23, pleural tap was performed; and in 17 patients, no special procedure was performed. In no case was video-assisted thoracic surgery performed. The mean total days of fever was 12.8 ± 5.9 (2–29 days), and the mean length of stay at the hospital was 11.5 ± 4.9 (3–25) days. In 44 patients (37%), a bacterial culture was positive either in blood or in pleural fluid or both. A positive blood or a positive pleural fluid culture was significantly associated with a prolonged fever as was a history of an underlying disease. Platelet counts, serum Na, serum protein, pleural lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), pleural glucose, pleural/serum LDH ratio, pleural/serum glucose ratio, and pleural fluid pH were the only factors significantly but weakly correlated with the total duration of fever or duration of fever after admission. A “fever duration” score using platelet count, pleural fluid pH, pleural/serum LDH ratio, and pleural/serum glucose ratio predicted a prolonged course of fever (>7 days) with a sensitivity of 91% (95% confidence interval: 60%–100%) and a specificity of 47% (95% confidence interval: 25%–71%).

Conclusions: In children with parapneumonic effusion-associated pneumonia, a positive bacterial culture and an underlying disease are associated with prolonged fever. A low score based on platelet count, pH pleural fluid and glucose, and LDH pleural/serum ratio is associated with a prolonged fever. We speculate that children with the risk factors mentioned earlier may be the best candidates for an early aggressive approach.

© 2010 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Inc.

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