Background: The rate of readmission is widely used as a measure of hospital quality of care, often with funding implications for outlying facilities.
Objectives: This study explored the plausibility of readmission as a proxy for health care quality with quantitative bias analysis and the application of a structural Directed Acyclic Graph framework. It applies this paradigm to observed ethnic differences in the odds of readmission in a sample of New Zealand hospital patients.
Research Design: Ethnicity was defined as the exposure, readmission rate as the proxy outcome, and quality of care as a missing mediator. Using data from 89,090 surgical patients from New Zealand, and estimates from the literature of the prevalence of “poor quality” and the strength of the quality-of-care readmission association, a series of sensitivity analyses were performed to calculate an odds ratio of the ethnicity-readmission association corrected for the missing mediator “quality.”
Results: Given the assumptions applied, potentially only 29% of the excess odds of readmission for Māori compared with Europeans were due to poor quality of care.
Conclusions: This investigation finds substantial error when using readmission as a marker of quality, and suggests that differences in readmission between populations are more likely to be due to factors other than quality of care.
*Institute for Health and Social Policy, University of McGill, Montreal, QC, Canada
†Department of Public Health & General Practice, University of Otago, Christchurch
‡Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand
This work was supported by a Clinical Research Training Fellowship from the Health Research Council of New Zealand.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Reprints: Juliet Rumball-Smith, MBChB, MPH, PhD, FAFPHM, Institute for Health and Social Policy, University of McGill, 1130 Pine Avenue West, Montreal, QC, Canada H3A 1A3. E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org.