Objective: To assess existing measures of pathologic response to neoadjuvant therapy in esophageal and junctional cancer, and to recommend an optimum classification.
Background: Multimodal therapy is increasingly the standard of care for locally advanced esophageal cancer. Numerous measures of pathologic response have been studied; however, no international standardization exists and no measure is incorporated into the current American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system.
Methods: A total of 393 consecutive patients completing multimodal therapy were studied, all with prospectively recorded Mandard tumor regression grades (TRG). Seven other published methods of response were compared, and a novel 3-point TRG [TRG 1 (complete); TRG 2/3 (partial); TRG 4/5 (none/minimal)] was tested. Clinical and pathologic evidence of nodal regression was assessed in a consecutive subset of 200 comprehensively staged patients.
Results: All models had similar discriminatory and stratification power, and they predicted survival (P < 0.0001) on univariate analysis. Conversely, only the 3-point TRG (P = 0.042) along with ypN (P < 0.001) and ypT stage (P < 0.001) independently predicted survival. The median survival for TRG 1 was 71 months compared with 30 and 17 months for TRG 2/3 and TRG 4/5, respectively (P < 0.0001). Apparent complete nodal response (cN1 to ypN0) was seen in 64% of the TRG 1 group, 30% of the TRG 2/3 group, and 5% of the TRG 4/5 group (P < 0.0001).
Conclusions: No existing response measure independently predicts outcome. A complete response (TRG 1) defines a unique cohort after neoadjuvant therapy, associated closely with nodal response, and overall survival. This classification merits consideration for standardization of treatment response, and for inclusion in staging nomenclature.
Several measures of pathologic regression to neoadjuvant therapy are reported. Here, in a large consecutive cohort, no published measure independently impacted on survival. A simplified novel 3-point scoring system was significant and discriminated with respect to both nodal response and survival.
*Department of Surgery, Trinity Centre for Health Sciences, Trinity College Dublin, and St James Hospital
†Department of Biostatistics, University College Dublin
‡Department of Pathology, St James Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.
Reprints: John V. Reynolds, MD, Trinity Centre for Health Sciences, St James Hospital, Dublin 8, Ireland. E-mail: email@example.com.
Disclosure: This work is funded by an Irish Cancer Society research scholarship. The authors have no financial disclosures to make and they declare no conflicts of interest.
Supplemental digital content is available for this article. Direct URL citations appear in the printed text and are provided in the HTML and PDF versions of this article on the journal's Web site (www.annalsofsurgery.com).