Field effectiveness of combination antiretroviral prophylaxis for the prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission in rural Zambia
Gartland, Matthew G.a,b; Chintu, Namwinga T.b; Li, Michelle S.b; Lembalemba, Mwila K.c; Mulenga, Saziso N.b; Bweupe, Maximillianc; Musonda, Patrickb,d; Stringer, Elizabeth M.b,e; Stringer, Jeffrey S.A.b,e; Chi, Benjamin H.b,e
aVanderbilt University School of Medicine; Nashville, Tennessee, USA
bCentre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka
cZambian Ministry of Health; Lusaka, Zambia
dUniversity of East Anglia; Norwich, UK
eUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Correspondence to Dr Ben Chi, Plot 1275 Lubuto Road, P.O. Box 34681, Lusaka, Zambia. Tel: +260 211 293 772; fax: +260 211 293 766; e-mail: email@example.com
Received 16 September, 2012
Revised 19 December, 2012
Accepted 21 December, 2012
Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of maternal combination antiretroviral prophylaxis for prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT) in a program setting.
Design: Prospective cohort study.
Setting: Nine primary care clinics in rural Zambia.
Participants: Two hundred and eighty-four HIV-infected pregnant women at at least 28 weeks gestation initiating PMTCT services between April 2009 and January 2011 and their newborn infants.
Intervention: In four ‘intervention’ sites, PMTCT comprised universal combination antiretroviral prophylaxis (i.e. irrespective of CD4 cell count) from pregnancy until the cessation of breastfeeding. In five ‘control’ sites, women received antenatal zidovudine and peripartum nevirapine, the standard of care at the time. Prophylaxis during breastfeeding was not available in control sites.
Main outcome measure: Cumulative infant HIV infection and death at 12 months postpartum.
Results: At 12 month postpartum, one of 104 (1.0%) infants born to mothers at the intervention sites were HIV-infected, compared with 14 of 116 (12.1%) receiving care in the control sites [relative risk (RR): 12.6, 95% CI: 2.2–73.1; P = 0.005]. When we considered the composite outcome of HIV infection or death, similar trends were observed in the overall study population (RR: 3.4, 95% CI: 1.6–7.6; P = 0.002) and in a sub-analysis of women with CD4 cell count more than 350 cells/μl (RR: 3.2; 95% CI: 1.1–9.6; P = 0.04).
Conclusion: When compared with PMTCT services based on antenatal zidovudine and peripartum nevirapine, the provision of maternal combination prophylaxis imparted measurable health benefits to HIV-exposed infants. Implementation research is needed to further tailor and optimize these strategies for similar field settings.
Antiretroviral therapy (ART) during pregnancy improves maternal survival and reduces infant HIV infection . For those who do not yet require long-term treatment, combination antiretroviral prophylaxis (ART prophylaxis) can also effectively reduce mother-to-child HIV transmission in the antenatal, intrapartum, and postpartum periods [2–9]. In the 2010 WHO guidelines, maternal ART prophylaxis was included as one of two recommended options for the prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission (PMTCT), as the so-called ‘Option B’ approach . By 2012, however, the WHO clearly favored maternal three-drug antiretroviral combinations for a number of reasons: simplification of regimens, integration with comprehensive HIV services, reductions in maternal morbidity and mortality, and potential for preventing horizontal HIV transmission to serodiscordant partners .
The WHO's Option B strategy for PMTCT calls for initiation of maternal combination antiretroviral regimens early in pregnancy (as early as 14 weeks), with continuation until breastfeeding stops. All infants receive 6 weeks of either zidovudine (ZDV) or nevirapine (NVP). Women who require ART for maternal health continue lifelong treatment following breastfeeding cessation. Despite its introduction in 2010, there are few published reports about the field implementation of Option B. In a ‘real world’ context, several factors could affect its public health impact. For example, the successful uptake of the intervention is critical; yet, studies of the ‘PMTCT cascade’ demonstrate attrition at numerous time points, even for relatively simple regimens such as single-dose nevirapine . For those who successfully initiate prophylaxis or treatment, questions around program retention and long-term drug adherence persist [13–16]. Studies focusing on the field effectiveness of Option B are urgently needed, particularly as this strategy is scaled up across sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to evaluate the effectiveness of combination ART prophylaxis for PMTCT in a public health setting in rural Zambia.
The Kafue District is a rural area approximately 40 kilometers south of the Zambia's capital city of Lusaka. The district covers 9400 square-kilometers and, in 2010, had a population of 242 754 . Over the past 3 years, the antenatal HIV prevalence in the Kafue District reported by the Ministry of Health was approximately 17% (personal communication, M. Mzumara). The public health sector in the district comprises a network of 14 primary care clinics – all with outpatient antenatal services – with more complicated patients referred to a single district hospital.
From 2007 to 2010, PMTCT in the Kafue District followed the Zambian Ministry of Health guidelines . Opt-out HIV counseling and testing was provided within antenatal clinics and diagnosis was established using a rapid antibody test algorithm. HIV-infected women were referred to one of four HIV care and treatment units in the district where they underwent clinical and immunologic screening for ART eligibility. Women who met eligibility criteria for HIV treatment – CD4 cell count 350 cells/μl or less or WHO clinical stage 3 or 4 – were prescribed ART. Those who did not meet these criteria were prescribed twice-daily ZDV from 28 weeks of gestation onward. At the time of labor, these women were instructed to ingest a single dose of NVP, typically dispensed at an earlier visit, followed by a 1-week zidovudine-lamivudine (ZDV-3TC) ‘tail’. HIV-exposed newborns received a single-dose of NVP within the first 72 h, followed by 7 days of ZDV prophylaxis. Mothers were encouraged to exclusively breastfeed for 6 months and then provide complementary feeds with continued breastfeeding until 24 months if they remained HIV negative. In accordance with national guidelines, additional maternal or infant antiretroviral prophylaxis was not provided during breastfeeding. For our primary comparisons (see below), we describe this PMTCT protocol as the ‘standard of care’ and individuals receiving this care as the ‘control group.’
Pilot prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission program in Kafue District
In April 2009, the Zambia Ministry of Health implemented a four-facility demonstration project in Kafue District offering ART prophylaxis to all HIV-infected pregnant women irrespective of clinical stage or CD4 cell count. Our group at the Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia provided technical assistance and support in its design and oversight. We developed an integrated clinic model wherein pregnant women diagnosed with HIV were provided CD4 cell count screening and WHO clinical staging within the antenatal clinic setting. Those who met criteria for HIV treatment were immediately started on ART and advised to continue it for life. Women who did not meet criteria for HIV treatment were offered ART prophylaxis starting at 28 weeks of gestation, with a plan to stop the regimen at the cessation of breastfeeding. A nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor backbone of ZDV and 3TC was preferentially prescribed. NVP was prescribed as the ‘third drug’ when the woman's CD4 cell count was 250 cells/μl or less; when the CD4 cell count was above this threshold, we dispensed efavirenz (EFV) or lopinavir-ritonavir (LPV/r) [19,20]. In cases of anemia, ZDV was substituted with tenofovir (TDF), abacavir (ABC), or stavudine (D4T) . Infant feeding counseling corresponded with the standard of care: exclusive breast-feeding until 6 months with the addition of complementary feeding until 24 months if a mother remained HIV negative. For our primary comparisons, we describe the patients receiving these services as the ‘intervention group’.
The pilot program presented a unique opportunity to evaluate the field effectiveness of combination ART prophylaxis for PMTCT in a public health setting. Using a quasi-experimental design, we enrolled a cohort of pregnant women seeking care across the four pilot sites into the intervention group. To provide a contemporaneous control group, we also enrolled pregnant women from five other government clinics providing PMTCT according to the prior standard of care. (The fifth control site was added due to slow enrollments at one rural health facility.) Across all nine sites, HIV-infected pregnant women who had been screened for ART eligibility were approached from 28 weeks gestation onward to participate. Gestational age was estimated based on reported last menstrual period. Ultrasound confirmation was not available due to the limited resources in these rural areas. The study was described and written informed consent obtained. Specific reasons for nonparticipation were not collected as part of routine clinical practice or by study staff; therefore, we were unable to include them in our final analyses.
All participants in both groups of this prospective cohort study received intensive clinical and laboratory monitoring. Following enrollment, they were scheduled for 2, 4, and 8 week visits. Clinical assessments were conducted immediately after delivery and at 6 weeks, 3, 6, and 12 postpartum. We tested infants for HIV infection at birth, 6 weeks, 6, and 12 months of life with the Roche Amplicor version 1.5 DNA PCR assay with manual extraction (Roche Diagnostics, Branchburg, New Jersey, USA). We required a second positive specimen from a separate blood draw to confirm infant infection. We evaluated medication adherence in the intervention group using the medication possession ratio, a measure of the cumulative number of days late for pharmacy refills divided by total days on therapy . Participants with missed visits were followed-up at home by community health workers and reminded about study visits. We sought to enroll 320 HIV-infected pregnant women: 160 from intervention sites and 160 from control sites. Because of recognized differences in patient volume at participating facilities, enrollment at any single site was capped at 40 participants. This sample size was based on an expected decrease in HIV transmission from 18 to 4% [23,24], assuming 80% power and a 0.05 two-sided significance level. We used the formula published by Hayes and Bennett  with an estimated coefficient of variation of 0.6.
Our primary outcomes were infant HIV infection and infant HIV infection or death, measured at 6 weeks, 6, and 12 months postpartum . The primary study population included all live born infants. Infants categorized as lost to follow-up were censored at the time of last visit, and thus did not contribute to later point estimates for HIV infection or death.
We compared baseline demographic and clinical characteristics between groups using Fisher's exact test for categorical variables and nonparametric Wilcoxon rank sum tests for continuous variables. To measure differences in breastfeeding and follow-up losses, important potential confounders to our analysis, we conducted Kaplan–Meier analyses and adjusted Cox proportional regression. Age, CD4 cell count, WHO clinical stage, renal function, liver function, parity, time on ART prophylaxis during pregnancy, and gestational age were included in the multivariate Cox models. For our primary analyses, we used a log-linked binomial regression model to estimate the relative risk (RR) of our primary outcomes between the intervention and control groups using generalized estimating equations with an exchangeable correlation structure to account for clustering at the site level. We calculated 95% confidence intervals using exact binomial methods. Because of differences in our comparison groups due to early ART referrals in the control sites, we conducted a secondary analysis restricted to infants whose mothers had a CD4 cell count of more than 350 cells/μl. We performed all analyses with SAS version 9.1.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, North Carolina, USA). The study was approved by the Biomedical Research Ethics Committee at the University of Zambia (Lusaka, Zambia) and the Institutional Review Boards at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA) and the University of Alabama at Birmingham (Birmingham, Alabama, USA).
We recruited participants from April 2009 to January 2011. In the four intervention sites, 2469 pregnant women agreed to HIV testing and 451 (18.3%) were diagnosed with HIV. Among those identified as HIV-infected, 218 (48.3%) initiated ART prophylaxis; of these, 143 (65.6%) enrolled in this study. In the five control sites, 3158 pregnant women agreed to HIV testing, of which 513 (16.2%) were diagnosed with HIV. All women were offered PMTCT according to the standard of care and 369 (71.9%) received at least one dispensation of antenatal ZDV. Of these 141 (38.2%) enrolled in the study.
Of the 284 total participants, four (1.4%) withdrew from the study and 10 (3.5%) were lost to follow-up prior to delivery (Fig. 1). At delivery, seven (2.5%; 95% CI: 1.0–5.3%) stillbirths were documented. Our analysis cohort comprised 263 live born infants for the primary analysis: 129 in the intervention group and 134 in the control group. At 12 months, 104 mother–infant pairs in the intervention group and 116 mother–infant pairs in the control group remained active in follow-up including those who had achieved a study outcome. There was one (0.7%) maternal death in the control group. A few differences were noted between study groups at enrollment (Table 1). These were consistent when this analysis was limited to mother–infant pairs remaining active in follow-up at 12 months. CD4 cell count at baseline was lower in the intervention group compared with those in the control (339 vs. 440 cells/μl, P < 0.001). The median time on antiretroviral drugs during pregnancy was shorter in the intervention group (7.6 vs. 9.1 weeks; P < 0.01). Among the 143 women starting ART for treatment or prophylaxis in the intervention group, the initial prescribed regimen was ZDV+3TC+EFV (n = 74, 52.1%), ZDV+3TC+NVP (n = 35, 24.7%), ZDV+3TC+LPV/r (n = 14, 9.9%), D4T+3TC+EFV (n = 9, 6.3%), D4T+3TC+NVP (n = 9, 6.3%), and ABC+3TC+NVP (n = 1, 0.7%). Of 104 women who remained active at 12 months in the intervention group, 100 (96.2%) had documented medication pick-up throughout this period. Among these women, 70 (70.0%) remained on the ART prophylaxis regimen they initiated at enrollment, 20 (20.0%) had undergone a single-drug substitution, and 10 (10.0%) had two drugs replaced with a fixed-dose combination.
All 129 women with live births in the intervention group and 133 of 134 (99.2%) women in the control group reported ever breastfeeding (P = 1.00). Women in the control group had a higher risk of breastfeeding cessation prior to 12 months compared with women in the intervention group (AHR: 2.31; 95%CI: 1.50–3.54) (Fig. 2a). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, 80.1% of women in the intervention group remained active in the study at 12 months, compared with 85.5% in the control group (P = 0.13) (Fig. 2b). Women in the control group may have been more likely to be retained in care (AHR: 1.56; 95% CI: 0.63–3.87), but this finding was not statistically significant. Data on adherence was captured for 103 (99.0%) of the intervention participants still active in the study at 12 months. Of these, 21 (20.4%) were found to have poor adherence to the ART prophylaxis (MPR <80%); 46 (44.7%) demonstrated sub-optimal adherence (80–94%); and 36 (34.9%) had optimal adherence (≥95%).
HIV infection was documented in 15 infants during longitudinal follow-up: one in the intervention group and 14 in the control group. The timing of HIV infection in the control group was as follows: at birth (n = 1), less than 4 weeks (n = 1), 4 weeks to less than 3 months (n = 4), and 3 months to 12 months postpartum (n = 8). The single case of infant HIV infection in the intervention group occurred at 2 weeks postpartum. Of the 15 HIV-positive infants, 13 (86.7%) had the diagnosis confirmed by a second PCR test and were referred for HIV treatment. One infant (6.7%) was lost to follow-up and one infant (6.7%) died before a confirmatory test could be performed. Cumulative risk for HIV infection was consistently higher in the control group when measured at 6 weeks, 6, and 12 months (Fig. 3a). The risk of HIV infection at 12 months was 1.0% (1/104) in the intervention group and 12.1% (14/116) in the control group (RR: 12.6, 95% CI: 2.2–73.1; P = 0.005). Similar trends were observed when the composite outcome of infant HIV infection or death was considered (RR: 3.4, 95% CI: 1.6–7.6; P = 0.002; Fig. 3b).
Of the 263 live-born infants included in our primary analysis, 154 (58.6%) were born to mothers with CD4 cell count more than 350 cells/μl at time of regimen initiation. Of these, 95 (61.7%) were in the control group and 59 (38.3%) in the intervention group. In a secondary analysis restricted to this sub-population, we were unable to detect differences in HIV infection by 12 months (RR: 2.9, 95% CI: 0.7–13.0; P = 0.16; Fig. 3c). However, we observed greater risk of HIV infection or death among individuals in the control group at 12 months (RR: 3.2; 95% CI: 1.1–9.6; P = 0.04; Fig. 3d).
Use of combination ART prophylaxis during pregnancy and breastfeeding was associated with a lower rate of infant HIV infection and death when compared with short-course antenatal ZDV and peripartum NVP. Similar trends were observed among infants whose mothers had CD4 cell counts more than 350 cells/μl. These measurable improvements in infant outcomes support the expansion of ART prophylaxis to all women irrespective of CD4 cell count, as is recommended in the WHO's Option B PMTCT policy.
When our study was first designed and implemented in 2009, the standard of care for PMTCT in Zambia focused on the timely triage of HIV-infected pregnant women for HIV treatment. The goal was to urgently identify and initiate treatment for women eligible for ART. In accordance with WHO recommendations at the time, those who did not meet eligibility criteria were initiated on short-course zidovudine and peripartum NVP from 28 weeks gestation onward. Antiretroviral prophylaxis during breastfeeding – to either mother or infant – was not offered. In the ensuing years, however, the science of PMTCT evolved rapidly. Services similar to those provided in our four Kafue pilot sites have been introduced as policy across much of Africa [11,27]. In this report, we share our early programmatic experiences and demonstrate the clear benefits to infant health when services are ‘upgraded’ from the previous standard of care (i.e. PMTCT as provided in our control sites) to the current standard of care (i.e. services provided at our intervention sites).
Several clinical trials have demonstrated the efficacy of ART prophylaxis during pregnancy and through breastfeeding [3–9]. Universally, these regimens have been shown to reduce mother-to-child HIV transmission; however, study design and primary endpoints have differed from trial to trial. Perhaps most similar to our study is the Kesho Bora study, a randomized controlled trial conducted in Kenya, Burkina Faso, and South Africa. Participants in Kesho Bora were randomized to receive either ART prophylaxis from 28 to 34 weeks gestation through breastfeeding or short-course antenatal ZDV and peripartum NVP. At 12 months postpartum, the risk of HIV infection or death was lower in the intervention group when compared with the control group (5.4 vs. 9.5%; P = 0.029), findings that approximate those of our study.
A strength of our study was its focus on field effectiveness, which considered program attrition over time. However, this ‘real world’ perspective also led to analytical challenges as well. For example, women who met immunologic criteria for HIV treatment in the control facilities were immediately referred to the nearest antiretroviral therapy clinic – typically the Kafue District Hospital – prior to 28 weeks gestation. Women in the intervention facilities were not referred in the same manner; in our integrated service model, they could access antiretroviral therapy on site. Because we did not include CD4 cell count eligibility criteria for the study, these differences in patient management led to imbalances between the comparison populations. We attempted to account for these differences in our secondary analysis, which restricted the study population to infants whose mothers had CD4 cell counts more than 350 cells/μl. We were reassured to find that results in this sub-analysis were consistent with those of the larger study cohort.
We observed a greater than two-fold hazard for stopping breastfeeding before 12 months in the control group, even after adjusting for baseline participant characteristics. Although we used a core group of study nurses, many factors – including differences in counseling – could have contributed to this incongruity. Breastfeeding cessation may also have been influenced by the perception that ART prophylaxis during breastfeeding imparts additional protection against mother-to-child HIV transmission. If confirmed, this change in maternal infant feeding behavior could present an important collateral benefit of ART prophylaxis.
As part of our analysis, we sought to determine the extent of follow-up losses in our programmatic cohort. We found that at 12 months of age nearly one-fifth of infants had no study outcome and could not be traced. This high percentage is concerning, but in line with other reports. Myer et al. showed that 19% of women pregnant at initiation of ART were lost to follow-up after 1 year . Similarly, Kaplan et al. showed 32% of pregnant women who initiated ART were lost to follow-up after 3 years . Among women in the intervention group whose infants were retained in care, only 35% demonstrated optimal adherence to their three-drug regimen as measured by medication possession ratio. This is significantly lower than previous findings in nonpregnant adults on ART, but consistent with studies of pregnant women [15,22]. Evidence-based strategies are clearly needed to improve retention and adherence among pregnant and postpartum populations, particularly as Ministries of Health move to Option B or Option ‘B+’ (i.e., initiation of lifelong antiretroviral therapy in pregnancy irrespective of CD4 cell count for PMTCT) . As most women in this population will be asymptomatic , there may be less motivation to adhere to long-term treatment once the risk of HIV transmission to the infant has passed.
We note several limitations to the current analysis. First, we were unable gather routine data about reasons behind nonparticipation in our cohort study. This may have led to unmeasured selection biases between the groups. Second, as neither the participants nor the facilities providing the intervention were randomized, our study data may contain systematic biases. There were several differences between our intervention and comparison groups. Because of the small number of events, particularly in the intervention group, we were unable to perform multivariable analyses. However, the most important potential confounder – maternal CD4 cell count – was examined in greater detail in our secondary analysis through stratification. Third, owing to the swiftly advancing field of PMTCT, the standard of care provided at our control sites is no longer the recommended WHO standard. The lack of antiretroviral coverage during the breastfeeding period, wherein the majority of infant HIV infections occurred, is most worrisome. Our study was designed to demonstrate the incremental health gains made possible by the implementation of the WHO's Option B for PMTCT in a field setting.
In summary, our findings demonstrate a significant benefit of maternal ART prophylaxis to HIV-exposed infants. However, patient attrition and poor adherence among those receiving combination regimens in the postpartum period could diminish regimen effectiveness and carry long-term consequences for women on treatment. As country programs seek to implement antiretroviral regimens of longer duration, particularly after delivery, investments are urgently needed to improve timely access to care and retention.
We thank Eleanor Turnbull for her contributions to study implementation and oversight. We acknowledge the Zambian Ministry of Health for its ongoing support for implementation research in the field of PMTCT. We also thank participants in Kafue District and the study team of district nurses, data associates, and clinical officers.
Author contributions: B.H.C. and M.G.G. had full access to the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
B.H.C., J.S.A.S., E.M.S., M.B., M.K.L., and N.T.C. conceived and developed the study design. M.G.G., S.N.M., and M.K.L. were responsible for data collection and management. Data analysis and interpretation was performed by all authors. Statistical analysis was undertaken by M.S.L., P.M., B.H.C., and M.G.G. Drafting or writing of this manuscript was performed by M.G.G., B.H.C., M.S.L., and P.M. All authors contributed to the critical revision of this manuscript. Study supervision was performed by M.G.G., B.H.C., S.N.M., M.B., and M.K.L.
The work reported herein was funded by Clinical Scientist Development Award from the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation (2007061). Additional trainee support was provided by the National Institutes of Health through the International Clinical Research Scholars Program at Vanderbilt University (R24 TW007988). Funding agencies played no role in the study design, data collection, data analysis, or manuscript writing.
Conflicts of interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
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