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HIV incidence among street youth in Montreal, Canada

Roy, Élisea,b; Haley, Nancya,b; Leclerc, Pascalea; Cédras, Lynea; Weber, Amy Eb; Claessens, Christianec; Boivin, Jean-Françoisa,b

Epidemiology & Social: Concise Communications

Objectives: To estimate HIV incidence and identify predictors of seroconversion among Montreal street youth.

Methods: From 1995 to 2000, street youth aged 14–25 years were recruited in a prospective cohort study. Interviews were conducted semiannually and included anti-HIV antibody testing. Among subjects who tested HIV negative at study entry and were interviewed at least twice, predictors of HIV seroconversion were identified using Cox regression. Variables considered as potential predictors were age, sex, injection drug use, being a male reporting male sexual partners, and survival sex.

Results: Overall, 1013 youth were recruited in the study. HIV prevalence at study entry was 1.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.8–2.4] and was stable over the 6 recruitment years. Among the 863 subjects selected for the incidence analysis, 66.7% were boys, 47.2% had ever injected drugs at study entry, and 25.7% had ever engaged in survival sex. The selected participants cumulated 2327 person-years of follow-up and 16 HIV seroconversions were observed, for an incidence rate of 0.69 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.39–1.11). In univariate analysis, injection drug use [hazard ratio (HR), 7.0] and involvement in survival sex (HR, 4.0) were associated with HIV incidence. In the multivariate analysis, only injection drug use was retained.

Conclusions: Among Montreal street youth, injection drug use was the strongest predictor of HIV seroconversion. Prevention of initiation into injection drug use must become a public health priority.

From the aDirection de Santé Publique de Montréal-Centre, bMcGill University and cLaboratoire de Santé Publique du Québec, Montreal, Canada.

Requests for reprints to: Dr É. Roy, Direction de Santé Publique de Montréal-Centre, Maladies Infectieuses, 1301 Sherbrooke St East, Montreal, Québec H2L 1M3, Canada.

Received: 29 August 2002; revised: 21 November 2002; accepted: 29 November 2002.

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Street involvement among youth has been recognized as an important and growing public health problem worldwide [1]. This reality is difficult to define and may present differently depending on the social environment where it takes place. This explains the great variety of labels that are used to designate these youth. In the developing world, street youth are usually categorized as ‘home-based’ or ‘street-based’ depending on their level of street involvement and the degree of family affiliation. In the developed world, terms like street youth, homeless youth, runaways or throwaways are used, underlining the fact that these youth are often estranged from their homes and their families. Despite this diversity of labels, these youth all face precarious living conditions, including poverty and residential instability, combined with varying degrees of involvement in the street economy. This often translates into a lifestyle based on survival, and the various risk behaviours it engenders, such as injection drug use [2–9] and prostitution [2–6,9,10], put street youth at increased risk for numerous health problems. HIV infection is one of the many health problems that street youth have to face.

To date, the HIV situation among street youth has been described in terms of prevalence but never of incidence. Two South American studies reported HIV prevalence of 3.2 and 4.6% [11,12]. In the United States, estimates of HIV prevalence varied widely according to recruitment site, city and study period, from 0 to 11.5% [4,13–15]. In Canada, prevalence of 1.9 and 2.2% were observed in two major cities [5,6]. Factors most frequently identified as associated with prevalence were injecting drug use [5,6,12], homosexual activities among males [5,13,14], and prostitution [4–6,12]. Other identified correlates of infection were having had another sexually transmitted disease [13], crack use [13], unprotected vaginal sex [4], sex with an injection drug user [4], older age [5,6], and birth outside Canada [6].

The prospective cohort study described here was conducted to determine HIV incidence among street youth in Montreal and to identify risk factors for HIV infection.

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Study population

The study was initiated in Montreal, Canada in 1995. The complete methodology has been described previously [16]. Briefly, criteria for entry in the study were being ‘street-active', 14–25 years of age, English or French speaking, and being able to provide informed consent and to complete a questionnaire. Youth were considered ‘street-active’ if they had, in the last year, either regularly used the services of street youth agencies or been without a place to sleep more than once. Study interviewers recruited participants through regular visits to all major street youth agencies in Montreal. These agencies offered mainly drop-in centre services, shelter and outreach services on the street.

Participants were interviewed twice a year; they completed a 45-minute interviewer-administered questionnaire covering sociodemographic characteristics, alcohol and drug use, and sexual behaviours, and provided two samples of gingival exudate for HIV antibody testing. Each visit was financially compensated (CAD $20). Ethical approval was provided by the Institutional Review Board of the Faculty of Medicine, McGill University.

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Laboratory tests

Saliva samples were kept at 4°C and sent weekly to the provincial laboratory, where they were extracted by centrifugation and frozen at −20°C. Specimens were tested for the presence of HIV antibodies by Vironostika HIV-1 enzyme immunoassay (EIA) (Organon-Teknika Inc., Scarborough, Ontario, Canada). Reactive specimens were tested in duplicate; repeatedly reactive specimens were considered positive.

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Statistical methods

The HIV incidence analysis was restricted to cohort participants who were HIV-negative at study entry and had completed at least one follow-up interview by 30 September 2000. Incidence was calculated as the number of participants who first tested HIV-positive during follow-up divided by the total person-time under observation. Person-time was defined as the interval between enrolment and either the most recent follow-up visit (for non-seroconverters) or the date of seroconversion (for seroconverters). The date of seroconversion was defined as the midpoint between the two visits with the last HIV-negative and the first HIV-positive test results. A 95% confidence interval (CI) for the global incidence estimate was calculated using the Poisson distribution. Risk ratios and 95% CI values of potential predictors of seroconversion were determined using Cox proportional hazard regression. In univariate analyses, crude incidence rates of infection were calculated as the number of youth who were exposed (or non-exposed) at the time of infection divided by the person-time attributed to the exposed (or non-exposed) category. All variables with P values ≤ 0.20 in univariate analyses were included in the multivariate Cox model. Variables with P values ≤ 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

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Study variables

Youth characteristics considered as potential predictors were sex, age, injection drug use, being a boy having male sexual partners (including clients), and survival sex (defined as receiving money, gifts, drugs, a place to sleep or something else in exchange for sexual activities). All independent variables except the sex were treated as time-dependent, covering the preceding 6 months and re-assessed at each interview.

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From 24 January 1995 to 30 September 2000, 1013 youth were recruited into the cohort, with a refusal rate estimated at 12%. Fourteen youth (2 girls, 12 boys) tested HIV positive at enrolment, for an HIV prevalence of 1.4% (95% CI, 0.8–2.4%). The HIV prevalence at entry was stable across the 6 recruitment years, varying between a minimum of 0.9% (95% CI, 0.1–4.7%) in 1998 and a maximum of 1.7% (95% CI, 0.4–4.9%) in 1999.

At baseline, the mean age of the 863 participants selected for the HIV incidence analysis was 19.8 years (SD 2.5). Two thirds (66.7%) were boys; the majority (95.1%) were born in Canada, and almost all (96.1%) had ever been without a place to sleep. Substance use was prevalent, with 97.0% having ever used marijuana/hashish, 91.3% hallucinogens (including LSD, PCP and mushrooms), 81.5% cocaine/crack/freebase, and 41.3% heroin. Near half (47.2%) had ever injected drugs. Almost all participants (99.0%) had engaged in some type of sexual activity; 22.1% had ever had same-sex partners (28.9% girls and 18.8% boys); 25.7% had ever engaged in survival sex, and 37.8% had a history of sexual abuse.

As of 30 September 2000, the 863 participants had cumulated 2327 person-years of follow-up and 16 (5 girls, 11 boys) had seroconverted, for an incidence rate of HIV infection of 0.69 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.39–1.11). Fifteen seroconverters were born in Canada and one in Western Europe; none had ever received blood/blood products outside Canada.

Table 1 presents the results of the Cox regression analyses. In univariate analyses, injection drug use and involvement in survival sex were significantly associated with HIV incidence. When both variables were included within the same model, injection drug use was the only variable that remained statistically significant.

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This is the first study to measure HIV incidence in street youth. The observed rate of 0.69 per 100 person-years is in the same range as those reported for cohorts of gay and bisexual men in Montreal (0.56 per 100 person-years) [17] and non-injection drug using gay and bisexual men in Vancouver (1.0 per 100 person-years) [18].

Injection drug use was the only identified predictor of HIV seroconversion among street youth. The observed incidence rate in cohort participants reporting drug injection was 1.72 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.89–2.99). This is lower than the rates of 2.6% per year observed in an American cohort of injection drug users aged 18 to 29 years [19] and 4.4 per 100 person-years observed in a subset of participants aged 24 years or less in a Canadian cohort of injection drug users [20]. This difference may result from several factors, including the duration and penetration of the HIV epidemic in the local population and the different patterns of social mixing among young injecting drug users [21]. We could not examine the association between specific needle-sharing behaviours and seroconversion because of the small number of cases. However, at study entry, 53% of youth reported having ever injected with a syringe already used by someone else and, from 1995 to 2000, this proportion remained constant. This result suggests that the potential for an HIV outbreak continues to exist among young injecting drug users in Montreal, particularly in the context of the constantly high HIV incidence (6.0 per 100 person-years) recently reported for the ‘general’ population of injecting drug users in Montreal [22].

It is of particular interest that the annual cross-sectional analysis has shown stable HIV prevalence over the study period despite an incidence rate greater than zero. This highlights the importance of a longitudinal study design that measures incidence to truly capture the dynamics of an epidemic [23]. It also suggests that perhaps the period during which youth remain on the streets is relatively short.

Limitations of this study must be taken into consideration in the interpretation of the results. First, the small number of seroconversions may have resulted in a limited power to detect predictors other than injection. It also precluded the possibility of separate analyses for males and females, which, on the basis of recent literature, could have been relevant [24,25]. A second area of concern may be the generalizability of the results. However, cohort participants should be representative of the larger Montreal street youth population given that recruitment was conducted in all major street youth organizations and that the refusal rate at recruitment was low. Moreover, as a recent survey has shown, most of the homeless population of Montreal (over 90%) attend community organizations offering services to homeless [26]. Third, this study relies on self-reported information, which may be influenced by social desirability and recall biases. To reduce the social desirability bias, interviews were conducted in the study office, interviewers were unaffiliated with service agencies, and repeated assurances of confidentiality were given. The recall bias should have been reduced by the prospective data collection and the interval of 6 months between questionnaires. Finally, another concern could be selective losses to follow-up, which may have biased observed results. However, a comparison of the HIV-negative subjects lost to follow-up after their initial interview and those retained in the analysis showed that both groups were comparable at study entry with regard to the five variables included in the regression analyses. Also, the low attrition rate (5.7 per 100 persons-years) that was achieved through intensive follow-up procedures should have minimized this bias even further.

To decrease HIV incidence among street youth, prevention of initiation into drug injection must become a public health priority. Possible strategies may include more accessible drug treatment services for youth engaged in intensive drug use and targeted preventive messages to improve knowledge about different routes of drug administration and their consequences. For youth already injecting, interventions favouring alternatives to injection may be an option. However, the innocuity of the various routes of drug administration on a person's social and physical health has to be further documented.

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The authors would like to thank the street youth and street youth agencies that collaborated in this study and all members of the research team.

Sponsorship: This study was supported by a grant from the Medical Research Council of Canada, Health Canada, the Fonds de recherche en santé du Québec, and the Ministère de la santé et des services sociaux du Québec.

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homelessness; HIV incidence; street youth; injection drug use; cohort study

© 2003 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Inc.